← Smart money
0xbd02…60e0
SharpEdge
+3.8pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
32% @ 28.4¢
Brier
0.087
Resolved
2522
Avg size
$30
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 32% (121/374) | +24% | 374 |
| Politics | 32% (7/22) | -46% | 22 |
| Sports | 0% (0/13) | -100% | 13 |
| Geopolitics | 40% (2/5) | +33% | 5 |
| Crypto | 40% (2/5) | -51% | 5 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Business | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other374 bets
- Hit rate
- 32% (121/374)
- ROI
- +24%
- Politics22 bets
- Hit rate
- 32% (7/22)
- ROI
- -46%
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/13)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +33%
- Crypto5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- -51%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
31% hit · 132/421- Yes$26 @ 26.0¢
- Rafael Jodar$277 @ 36.5¢
- No$1.0k @ 43.5¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 76.9¢
- No$32 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$115 @ 18.8¢
- No$363 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$180 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
- No$592 @ 67.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
- Real Madrid$6 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$228 @ 76.0¢
- 90k$43 @ 43.0¢
- Flamengo$117 @ 56.3¢
- No$3 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 86.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$13 @ 2.2¢
- Atmane$39 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$93 @ 9.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- No$447 @ 50.8¢
- Yes$82 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.0¢
- Sabalenka$331 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$35 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 42.8¢
- Yes$30 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$138 @ 27.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$8 @ 5.7¢
- No$407 @ 82.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
- No$53 @ 87.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $2.2k | 76.9¢ |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $755 | 10.7¢ |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $335 | 0.4¢ |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $283 | 2.6¢ |
| Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev | Sports | Rafael Jodar | $277 | 36.5¢ |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting? | Economy | Yes | $130 | 14.8¢ |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $112 | 3.2¢ |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $110 | 0.3¢ |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $75 | 1.3¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $66 | 18.7¢ |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | — | Yes | $26 | 26.0¢ |
- Yes$2.2k @ 76.9¢
- Yes$755 @ 10.7¢
- Yes$335 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$283 @ 2.6¢
- Rafael Jodar$277 @ 36.5¢
- Yes$130 @ 14.8¢
- Yes$112 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$110 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$75 @ 1.3¢
- No$66 @ 18.7¢
- Yes$26 @ 26.0¢