0xbce8…abd4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbce80c1e1af8178ddec78751bdb16164804aabd4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+21.6pp

ROI

+115%

Win rate

70% @ 48.4¢

Brier

0.196

Resolved

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (10/18)	+78%	18
Politics	100% (1/1)	+27%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+334%	1

Other18 bets
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
ROI
+78%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+27%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+334%

Track record

60% hit · 12/20

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	$10	49.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	$5	90.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$40	23.0¢	Won
Nets vs. Lakers	Lakers	$10	84.3¢	Won
Nets vs. Lakers	Nets	$10	13.7¢	Lost
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Arizona Diamondbacks	$10	22.2¢	Lost
Blackhawks vs. Rangers	Blackhawks	$10	15.1¢	Lost
Blackhawks vs. Rangers	Rangers	$10	61.0¢	Won
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	$30	78.1¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	4.9¢	Lost
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones	Iowa State Cyclones	$10	8.9¢	Lost
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones	Tennessee Volunteers	$10	75.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$20	59.8¢	Won
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	87.5¢	Won
Red Wings vs. Sabres	Red Wings	$10	58.0¢	Won
Red Wings vs. Sabres	Sabres	$10	21.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	5.3¢	Won
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants	New York Yankees	$10	53.0¢	Won
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	$10	46.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	$10	78.5¢	Won

Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Lost
No$10 @ 49.0¢
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Won
Yes$5 @ 90.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$40 @ 23.0¢
Nets vs. LakersWon
Lakers$10 @ 84.3¢
Nets vs. LakersLost
Nets$10 @ 13.7¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersLost
Arizona Diamondbacks$10 @ 22.2¢
Blackhawks vs. RangersLost
Blackhawks$10 @ 15.1¢
Blackhawks vs. RangersWon
Rangers$10 @ 61.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Won
Yes$30 @ 78.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.9¢
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State CyclonesLost
Iowa State Cyclones$10 @ 8.9¢
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State CyclonesWon
Tennessee Volunteers$10 @ 75.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$20 @ 59.8¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 87.5¢
Red Wings vs. SabresWon
Red Wings$10 @ 58.0¢
Red Wings vs. SabresLost
Sabres$10 @ 21.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 5.3¢
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco GiantsWon
New York Yankees$10 @ 53.0¢
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco GiantsLost
San Francisco Giants$10 @ 46.0¢
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?Won
No$10 @ 78.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	93.0¢

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 93.0¢