← Smart money
0xbce8…abd4
SharpEdge
+19.1pp
ROI
+81%
Win rate
71% @ 51.7¢
Brier
0.193
Resolved
82
Avg size
$5
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 53% (10/19) | +73% | 19 |
| Politics | 73% (11/15) | -2% | 15 |
| Sports | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | -37% | 2 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +334% | 1 |
- Other19 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (10/19)
- ROI
- +73%
- Politics15 bets
- Hit rate
- 73% (11/15)
- ROI
- -2%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -37%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +334%
Track record
57% hit · 23/40- Yes$10 @ 94.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 58.0¢
- No$5 @ 21.8¢
- No$5 @ 96.2¢
- No$10 @ 32.9¢
- No$5 @ 78.0¢
- No$5 @ 80.0¢
- No$10 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 90.0¢
- No$40 @ 23.0¢
- Lakers$10 @ 84.3¢
- Nets vs. LakersLostNets$10 @ 13.7¢
- Arizona Diamondbacks$10 @ 22.2¢
- Blackhawks$10 @ 15.1¢
- Rangers$10 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 78.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.9¢
- Iowa State Cyclones$10 @ 8.9¢
- Tennessee Volunteers$10 @ 75.9¢
- No$20 @ 59.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 87.5¢
- Red Wings$10 @ 58.0¢
- Sabres$10 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.3¢
- New York Yankees$10 @ 53.0¢
- San Francisco Giants$10 @ 46.0¢
- No$10 @ 78.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 82.8¢
- No$5 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 36.0¢
- No$5 @ 79.2¢
- No$10 @ 35.0¢
- No$5 @ 40.0¢
- No$5 @ 46.0¢
- Conor McGregor$5 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 75.2¢
- No$5 @ 75.1¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | — | Yes | $10 | 79.0¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 70.5¢ |
| Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | — | Yes | $5 | 20.0¢ |
- Yes$10 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 70.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 20.0¢