0xbc17…289a

Specialization by sphere

• Other481 bets

  Hit rate

  39% (189/481)

  ROI

  +18%

• Politics8 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (2/8)

  ROI

  -38%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Won
  Under$65 @ 52.0¢
• Spread: Bengals (-5.5)Won
  Browns$100 @ 53.0¢
• Guardians vs. DiamondbacksLost
  Guardians$152 @ 46.6¢
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
  Yes$82 @ 13.0¢
• Cubs vs. GiantsWon
  Giants$180 @ 47.6¢
• Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 36.5¢
• Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Lost
  No$70 @ 19.0¢
• Von der Leyen out in 2025?Lost
  Yes$39 @ 12.3¢
• Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Lost
  Yes$175 @ 15.1¢
• Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 21.0¢
• Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?Won
  No$2.5k @ 59.3¢
• Will Garrett Nussemeier win the Heisman Trophy?Lost
  Yes$43 @ 12.8¢
• Orioles vs. PhilliesLost
  Orioles$100 @ 44.0¢
• Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more? Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 48.9¢
• O/U 51.5Lost
  Over$350 @ 52.0¢
• Red Sox vs. DiamondbacksWon
  Diamondbacks$200 @ 49.0¢
• Giants vs. CommandersLost
  Giants$100 @ 30.0¢
• Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?Lost
  Yes$84 @ 1.4¢
• Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more? Lost
  Yes$924 @ 26.8¢
• Spread: Vikings (-1.5)Lost
  Bears$200 @ 53.0¢
• Orioles vs. AstrosLost
  Orioles$161 @ 44.0¢
• Cubs vs. BravesLost
  Braves$198 @ 50.0¢
• GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 5.1¢
• Angels vs. RangersLost
  Angels$179 @ 48.7¢
• Cubs vs. Blue JaysLost
  Cubs$161 @ 48.0¢
• Mariners vs. RaysWon
  Rays$100 @ 48.3¢
• Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Lost
  Yes$519 @ 2.1¢
• Orioles vs. CubsWon
  Orioles$10 @ 33.0¢
• Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Lost
  Yes$75 @ 6.0¢
• Angels vs. TigersLost
  Angels$20 @ 20.0¢
• Braves vs. MarlinsWon
  Marlins$160 @ 47.0¢
• Will NDP win between 10 and 15 seats in the next Canadian Election?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 33.7¢
• Angels vs. MarinersLost
  Angels$220 @ 42.0¢
• Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 2.4¢
• Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?Lost
  Yes$161 @ 7.0¢
• Mariners vs. OriolesWon
  Orioles$161 @ 46.0¢
• Spread: LSU (-7.0)Lost
  Florida$50 @ 54.0¢
• Diamondbacks vs. GiantsWon
  Diamondbacks$210 @ 50.0¢
• Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 2.5¢
• Red Sox vs. DiamondbacksLost
  Diamondbacks$223 @ 51.6¢
• Titans vs. BroncosLost
  Titans$100 @ 22.0¢
• House control after 2024 election?Lost
  Democratic$92 @ 62.0¢
• House control after 2024 election?Won
  Republican$2.1k @ 43.4¢
• Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
  Yes$182 @ 2.4¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$75 @ 39.0¢
• Pirates vs. CubsWon
  Pirates$165 @ 37.0¢
• Dodgers vs. OriolesLost
  Orioles$220 @ 41.0¢
• Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 36.0¢
• Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
  No$50 @ 17.0¢
• Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 43.5Lost
  Under$203 @ 53.6¢

Current positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$2.7k @ 44.9¢
• Blue tsunami in 2026?Politics
  Yes$747 @ 50.6¢
• Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$498 @ 27.2¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$450 @ 57.0¢
• Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics
  Yes$428 @ 63.8¢
• Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$370 @ 20.8¢
• Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$279 @ 41.1¢
• Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$248 @ 37.7¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$202 @ 59.5¢
• Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$190 @ 20.9¢
• Blue wave in 2026?Politics
  Yes$165 @ 65.1¢
• Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$159 @ 30.4¢
• Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$123 @ 18.4¢
• Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$121 @ 20.8¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Politics
  Yes$111 @ 55.5¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?Politics
  Yes$105 @ 51.1¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?Politics
  Yes$100 @ 40.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?Politics
  Yes$99 @ 38.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Politics
  Yes$99 @ 47.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?Politics
  Yes$98 @ 24.0¢
• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$92 @ 12.2¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$92 @ 40.8¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Politics
  Yes$73 @ 47.0¢
• US recession by end of 2026?Economy
  Yes$64 @ 47.8¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?Politics
  Yes$60 @ 29.5¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 53.0¢