← Smart money
0xbb65…1407
ProfitableEdge
+13.7pp
ROI
+56%
Win rate
55% @ 41.5¢
Brier
0.272
Resolved
67
Avg size
$5
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 62% (23/37) | -3% | 37 |
| Sports | 54% (7/13) | +11% | 13 |
| Geopolitics | 27% (3/11) | -62% | 11 |
| Crypto | 25% (2/8) | +95% | 8 |
| Other | 50% (2/4) | -46% | 4 |
| Tech | 67% (2/3) | +20% | 3 |
- Politics37 bets
- Hit rate
- 62% (23/37)
- ROI
- -3%
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (7/13)
- ROI
- +11%
- Geopolitics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (3/11)
- ROI
- -62%
- Crypto8 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (2/8)
- ROI
- +95%
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -46%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +20%
Track record
51% hit · 39/76- Yes$5 @ 4.5¢
- No$6 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$10 @ 99.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
- Belgium$6 @ 21.0¢
- No$30 @ 98.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
- No$13 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 80.1¢
- No$5 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 35.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
- No$10 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 52.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 65.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
- No$24 @ 75.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 37.2¢
- Over$10 @ 67.0¢
- Belgium$10 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 2.7¢
- No$10 @ 38.6¢
- Yes$20 @ 71.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 21.0¢
- No$9 @ 24.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
- Germany$6 @ 21.0¢
- No$21 @ 99.5¢
- Over$10 @ 67.0¢
- No$9 @ 84.0¢
- No$16 @ 96.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 73.0¢
- No$2 @ 92.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 6.7¢
- No$1 @ 9.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 63.0¢
- No$11 @ 98.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 8.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 31.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 66.8¢
- Ecuador$3 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 14.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $10 | 24.9¢ |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Politics | No | $1 | 77.0¢ |
- Yes$10 @ 24.9¢
- No$1 @ 77.0¢