← Smart money
0xb9a3…a02b
SharpEdge
+5.0pp
ROI
+22%
Win rate
51% @ 46.3¢
Brier
0.219
Resolved
847
Avg size
$53
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 54% (170/312) | +25% | 312 |
| Crypto | 27% (7/26) | -20% | 26 |
| Science | 62% (8/13) | -18% | 13 |
| Other | 67% (4/6) | -4% | 6 |
| Politics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports312 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (170/312)
- ROI
- +25%
- Crypto26 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (7/26)
- ROI
- -20%
- Science13 bets
- Hit rate
- 62% (8/13)
- ROI
- -18%
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- -4%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
53% hit · 189/360- Rams$1.2k @ 17.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 63.0¢
- Over$25 @ 44.0¢
- Celtics$27 @ 74.0¢
- Lorenzo Musetti$5 @ 68.0¢
- Solary$2 @ 37.0¢
- No$25 @ 49.0¢
- Cleveland Guardians$5 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 83.0¢
- Saints$50 @ 53.0¢
- Boise State$312 @ 74.0¢
- FaZe$127 @ 57.0¢
- Vitality$357 @ 56.0¢
- Over$8 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 54.0¢
- Damian Pinas$60 @ 83.0¢
- M80$242 @ 21.7¢
- Spirit$60 @ 74.0¢
- Colts$488 @ 60.0¢
- Commanders$120 @ 12.0¢
- Aurora Gaming$75 @ 61.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 73.0¢
- MOUZ$200 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 41.0¢
- MOUZ$250 @ 39.0¢
- Over$90 @ 78.0¢
- BetBoom Team$150 @ 32.0¢
- Spirit$143 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$99 @ 50.9¢
- Sangal$98 @ 32.4¢
- Yes$224 @ 79.0¢
- Team Falcons$293 @ 57.7¢
- Yes$110 @ 42.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
- Payton Talbott$165 @ 86.0¢
- Natalia Silva$90 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 63.0¢
- Jakub Mensik$420 @ 65.0¢
- No$10 @ 1.9¢
- Heroic$500 @ 60.0¢
- Team Nemesis$246 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 64.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$10 @ 51.0¢
- Gen.G$200 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 39.2¢
- New York Yankees$5 @ 45.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Will T1 win Worlds 2026?SportsYes$430 @ 17.4¢
- No$102 @ 97.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$84 @ 69.5¢
- No$56 @ 22.1¢
- Yes$49 @ 66.0¢
- Plague pandemic in 2026?ScienceYes$49 @ 5.2¢
- Yes$30 @ 92.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 94.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 85.4¢
- Yes$19 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$19 @ 26.4¢
- No$15 @ 86.7¢
- Yes$14 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$11 @ 13.0¢
- No$10 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 12.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 17.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 49.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
- No$2 @ 2.1¢