0xb959…2d5e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb959537b625991c468ce5623c4810c3941d72d5e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-11.3pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

33% @ 44.6¢

Brier

0.132

Resolved

246

Avg size

$28

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	49% (29/59)	+5%	59
Science	94% (15/16)	+2%	16
Politics	44% (4/9)	-4%	9
Geopolitics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other59 bets
Hit rate
49% (29/59)
ROI
+5%
Science16 bets
Hit rate
94% (15/16)
ROI
+2%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
ROI
-4%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

55% hit · 48/87

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 25?	No	$200	96.5¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$2	15.9¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$98	49.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	$450	96.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 24?	No	$59	99.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 24?	No	$195	97.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 24?	No	$25	97.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 24?	No	$110	98.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 24?	No	$50	99.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 24?	No	$10	98.3¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 24?	No	$10	99.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 24?	No	$14	98.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 24?	No	$50	99.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 22?	No	$49	98.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 22?	No	$85	98.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 22?	No	$34	97.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 22?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 22?	No	$19	97.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 21?	No	$20	99.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?	No	$5	46.0¢	Lost
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	No	$403	69.6¢	Won
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?	No	$203	61.0¢	Won
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$10	20.0¢	Lost
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?	No	$30	30.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?	No	$5	60.0¢	Lost
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	$1	46.0¢	Won
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$13	0.4¢	Lost
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?	No	$248	66.5¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	No	$56	56.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$229	62.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?	No	$161	80.5¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$285	57.0¢	Lost
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	$172	85.9¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?	No	$40	79.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?	No	$3	19.0¢	Lost
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	$14	7.0¢	Lost
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$47	47.0¢	Lost
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	Yes	$73	81.0¢	Won
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$6	4.3¢	Lost
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	$89	82.5¢	Won
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?	No	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	No	$175	87.4¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	Yes	$2	37.7¢	Lost
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Lost
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?	No	$103	78.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	No	$559	74.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?	No	$5	36.0¢	Lost
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	$306	58.9¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?	No	$37	74.0¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 25?Won
No$200 @ 96.5¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.9¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
No$98 @ 49.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Won
Yes$450 @ 96.9¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 24?Won
No$59 @ 99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 24?Won
No$195 @ 97.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 24?Won
No$25 @ 97.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 24?Won
No$110 @ 98.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 24?Won
No$50 @ 99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 24?Won
No$10 @ 98.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 24?Won
No$10 @ 99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 24?Won
No$14 @ 98.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 24?Won
No$50 @ 99.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 22?Won
No$49 @ 98.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 22?Won
No$85 @ 98.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 22?Won
No$34 @ 97.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 22?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 22?Won
No$19 @ 97.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 21?Won
No$20 @ 99.0¢
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Lost
No$5 @ 46.0¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Won
No$403 @ 69.6¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?Won
No$203 @ 61.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Lost
Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Lost
No$30 @ 30.0¢
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Lost
No$5 @ 60.0¢
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Won
Gold$1 @ 46.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.4¢
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?Lost
No$248 @ 66.5¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Won
No$56 @ 56.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
No$229 @ 62.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Won
No$161 @ 80.5¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$285 @ 57.0¢
US strike on Mexico by January 31?Won
No$172 @ 85.9¢
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Won
No$40 @ 79.0¢
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Lost
No$3 @ 19.0¢
US strike on Cuba by March 31?Lost
Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$47 @ 47.0¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Won
Yes$73 @ 81.0¢
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.3¢
US strike on Mexico by March 31?Won
No$89 @ 82.5¢
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Lost
No$1 @ 24.0¢
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Won
No$175 @ 87.4¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 37.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?Won
No$103 @ 78.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Won
No$559 @ 74.5¢
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Lost
No$5 @ 36.0¢
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Lost
Yes$306 @ 58.9¢
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Won
No$37 @ 74.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Politics	Yes	$242	96.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Politics	Yes	$100	90.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$77	77.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	33.0¢

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Politics
Yes$242 @ 96.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Politics
Yes$100 @ 90.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$77 @ 77.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 33.0¢