0xb8f6…4f7f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb8f6c79e452d7247d0cf47d16eaf7911953c4f7f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.6pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

54% @ 50.2¢

Brier

0.174

Resolved

2811

Avg size

$18

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	57% (470/827)	+7%	827
Other	50% (269/536)	+6%	536
Politics	61% (14/23)	-8%	23

Sports827 bets
Hit rate
57% (470/827)
ROI
+7%
Other536 bets
Hit rate
50% (269/536)
ROI
+6%
Politics23 bets
Hit rate
61% (14/23)
ROI
-8%

Track record

54% hit · 753/1386

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?	Yes	$53	96.2¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	$14	90.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$3	9.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$113	91.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	$4	9.0¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$92	98.1¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$345	98.0¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	$116	94.3¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$300	96.7¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$49	97.8¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$3	3.9¢	Lost
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	$26	7.7¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	$10	63.0¢	Won
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01?	No	$38	44.0¢	Lost
Napoli Basketball vs. Reyer Venezia	Napoli Basketball	$6	64.0¢	Won
Buducnost vs. Borac	Buducnost	$21	87.0¢	Won
Will South Africa win?	Yes	$15	48.0¢	Won
Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	$261	58.0¢	Lost
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Kosner Baskonia	Kosner Baskonia	$2	39.0¢	Lost
Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	$9	11.1¢	Lost
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	$5	7.0¢	Lost
Will Gangwon FC vs. Kuching City FC end in a draw?	No	$14	79.0¢	Won
Will Kuching City FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	$2	6.0¢	Lost
Nepal Premier League: Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu Gurkhas	Janakpur Bolts	$3	49.0¢	Won
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	$62	81.1¢	Lost
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	$22	22.0¢	Won
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	$10	85.3¢	Won
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	$59	18.7¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	$28	92.0¢	Won
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	$10	94.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$8	42.1¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$48	60.3¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$217	83.0¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$27	52.0¢	Won
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$27	57.0¢	Lost
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$136	95.2¢	Won
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$58	57.0¢	Won
Reyer Venezia vs. Universo Treviso Basket	Universo Treviso Basket	$2	37.0¢	Won
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Nigeria vs Uganda	Nigeria	$1	15.0¢	Won
Will Persita Tangerang win on 2026-10-25?	No	$7	71.0¢	Won
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-24?	No	$30	57.6¢	Won
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-24?	No	$14	51.0¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	$5	48.0¢	Won
Will Club Almagro win on 2026-10-24?	No	$61	84.0¢	Won
SC RASTA Vechta vs. Gladiators Trier	Gladiators Trier	$11	77.0¢	Won
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	$7	38.0¢	Lost
Will Exeter City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$3	35.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$25	53.0¢	Lost
Will Peterborough United FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$6	43.0¢	Lost

Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$53 @ 96.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Won
No$14 @ 90.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$113 @ 91.0¢
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$4 @ 9.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 11.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$92 @ 98.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$345 @ 98.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Won
No$116 @ 94.3¢
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$300 @ 96.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$49 @ 97.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.9¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$26 @ 7.7¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Won
No$10 @ 63.0¢
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01?Lost
No$38 @ 44.0¢
Napoli Basketball vs. Reyer VeneziaWon
Napoli Basketball$6 @ 64.0¢
Buducnost vs. BoracWon
Buducnost$21 @ 87.0¢
Will South Africa win?Won
Yes$15 @ 48.0¢
Will Bangladesh win?Lost
Yes$261 @ 58.0¢
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Kosner BaskoniaLost
Kosner Baskonia$2 @ 39.0¢
Science City Jena vs. Fraport SkylinersLost
Science City Jena$9 @ 11.1¢
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-29?Lost
Yes$5 @ 7.0¢
Will Gangwon FC vs. Kuching City FC end in a draw?Won
No$14 @ 79.0¢
Will Kuching City FC win on 2026-10-29?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
Nepal Premier League: Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu GurkhasWon
Janakpur Bolts$3 @ 49.0¢
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Lost
No$62 @ 81.1¢
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Won
Yes$22 @ 22.0¢
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Won
No$10 @ 85.3¢
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Lost
Yes$59 @ 18.7¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?Won
Yes$28 @ 92.0¢
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-28?Won
Yes$10 @ 94.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$8 @ 42.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$48 @ 60.3¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
No$217 @ 83.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$27 @ 52.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Lost
No$27 @ 57.0¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$136 @ 95.2¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$58 @ 57.0¢
Reyer Venezia vs. Universo Treviso BasketWon
Universo Treviso Basket$2 @ 37.0¢
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Nigeria vs UgandaWon
Nigeria$1 @ 15.0¢
Will Persita Tangerang win on 2026-10-25?Won
No$7 @ 71.0¢
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-24?Won
No$30 @ 57.6¢
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-24?Lost
No$14 @ 51.0¢
Rockets vs. HawksWon
Rockets$5 @ 48.0¢
Will Club Almagro win on 2026-10-24?Won
No$61 @ 84.0¢
SC RASTA Vechta vs. Gladiators TrierWon
Gladiators Trier$11 @ 77.0¢
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Lost
Merab Dvalishvili$7 @ 38.0¢
Will Exeter City FC win on 2026-10-24?Won
Yes$3 @ 35.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?Lost
Yes$25 @ 53.0¢
Will Peterborough United FC win on 2026-10-24?Lost
Yes$6 @ 43.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$345	98.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$340	97.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$340	97.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$320	85.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$318	87.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$300	96.7¢
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$265	93.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$207	37.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$197	65.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	No	$193	43.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$180	29.3¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$173	34.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$170	43.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$163	33.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$140	56.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$139	98.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$135	47.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$127	42.7¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$116	20.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$116	94.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$113	91.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$101	96.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$93	33.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$92	38.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$87	58.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$85	84.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$79	53.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$74	97.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$74	86.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$69	94.0¢

Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$345 @ 98.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$340 @ 97.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$340 @ 97.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$320 @ 85.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Politics
No$318 @ 87.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$300 @ 96.7¢
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$265 @ 93.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$207 @ 37.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$197 @ 65.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
No$193 @ 43.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$180 @ 29.3¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$173 @ 34.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$170 @ 43.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$163 @ 33.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$140 @ 56.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$139 @ 98.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics
No$135 @ 47.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$127 @ 42.7¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$116 @ 20.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Politics
No$116 @ 94.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$113 @ 91.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$101 @ 96.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$93 @ 33.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics
No$92 @ 38.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$87 @ 58.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Politics
No$85 @ 84.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$79 @ 53.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?Politics
No$74 @ 97.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$74 @ 86.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$69 @ 94.0¢