← Smart money
0xb782…752b
SharpEdge
+8.0pp
ROI
+22%
Win rate
50% @ 41.6¢
Brier
0.172
Resolved
266
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 61% (17/28) | +53% | 28 |
| Politics | 48% (13/27) | -39% | 27 |
| Crypto | 60% (3/5) | +61% | 5 |
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | -4% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other28 bets
- Hit rate
- 61% (17/28)
- ROI
- +53%
- Politics27 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (13/27)
- ROI
- -39%
- Crypto5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +61%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -4%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
53% hit · 34/64- Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
- No$1 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 21.9¢
- No$1 @ 39.9¢
- No$2 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$14 @ 16.8¢
- No$1 @ 83.4¢
- Yes$6 @ 21.4¢
- No$2 @ 78.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
- No$5 @ 75.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 14.6¢
- No$27 @ 45.5¢
- Yes$13 @ 18.2¢
- No$1 @ 35.0¢
- No$3 @ 31.5¢
- Yes$8 @ 1.2¢
- No$4 @ 69.1¢
- Yes$11 @ 14.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 32.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 63.6¢
- No$1 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 7.6¢
- No$2 @ 89.2¢
- No$1 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.8¢
- No$1 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 28.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$9 @ 48.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.5¢
- No$4 @ 48.3¢
- Yes$7 @ 9.1¢
- No$6 @ 56.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 28.9¢
- Yes$16 @ 47.5¢
- No$7 @ 45.6¢
- Yes$8 @ 29.5¢
- No$5 @ 75.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 87.0¢
- No$1 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
- No$1 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 38.2¢
- No$3 @ 78.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 19.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 64.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $78 | 79.7¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | No | $25 | 64.0¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 44.4¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 26.9¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | No | $3 | 91.4¢ |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | Politics | No | $3 | 80.0¢ |
| Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | Politics | No | $2 | 97.0¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | — | Yes | $2 | 58.0¢ |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | No | $2 | 82.9¢ |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 28.0¢ |
- No$78 @ 79.7¢
- No$25 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 44.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 26.9¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$3 @ 91.4¢
- No$3 @ 80.0¢
- No$2 @ 97.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 58.0¢
- No$2 @ 82.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 28.0¢