← Smart money
0xb698…976a
SharpEdge
+3.5pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
8% @ 4.6¢
Brier
0.066
Resolved
827
Avg size
$35
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 17% (8/47) | -70% | 47 |
| Other | 7% (2/28) | +97% | 28 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/7) | -100% | 7 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +170% | 1 |
- Politics47 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (8/47)
- ROI
- -70%
- Other28 bets
- Hit rate
- 7% (2/28)
- ROI
- +97%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/7)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +170%
Track record
13% hit · 11/83- Yes$2.0k @ 13.8¢
- Yes$118 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$99 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$78 @ 11.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$86 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$610 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$126 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$5.8k @ 8.0¢
- Yes$150 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$73 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$473 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$21 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$201 @ 23.6¢
- Yes$210 @ 9.4¢
- Yes$100 @ 57.3¢
- Yes$114 @ 1.5¢
- No$175 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$609 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$954 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$845 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$250 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$218 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 2.7¢
- Yes$131 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$11 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$155 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$779 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$156 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 1.2¢
- Yes$218 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 5.0¢
- Yes$58 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$50 @ 26.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.6¢
- Yes$139 @ 6.4¢
- No$55 @ 77.3¢
- Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$116 @ 4.9¢
- No$192 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$250 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 73.6¢
- Yes$101 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$55 @ 0.5¢
- No$0 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 18.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $2.0k | 13.8¢ |
- Yes$2.0k @ 13.8¢