0xb4f6…eada

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics6 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (3/6)

  ROI

  +29%

• Sports2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +157%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -26%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +56%

• Other1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +14%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +142%

• Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Won
  No$10 @ 41.3¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?Won
  No$52 @ 66.5¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$15 @ 50.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$45 @ 46.9¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14?Lost
  Yes$53 @ 5.5¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
  Yes$82 @ 32.9¢
• Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Won
  No$8 @ 35.0¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$61 @ 72.0¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  Yes$35 @ 89.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$60 @ 89.9¢
• Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$61 @ 39.5¢
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Won
  Yes$70 @ 88.0¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Won
  No$61 @ 64.0¢

Current positions

• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$166 @ 79.3¢
• Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Culture
  No$150 @ 98.7¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$93 @ 81.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
  Yes$92 @ 26.7¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Politics
  No$90 @ 96.5¢
• Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto
  No$88 @ 98.8¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$88 @ 98.9¢
• Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics
  No$72 @ 97.8¢
• Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics
  No$70 @ 97.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Crypto
  No$70 @ 88.4¢
• Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  No$70 @ 99.0¢
• World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Sports
  No$70 @ 96.8¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Crypto
  No$70 @ 86.0¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  No$70 @ 91.1¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$70 @ 16.2¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$69 @ 93.4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$65 @ 46.3¢
• Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Politics
  No$65 @ 59.9¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics
  Yes$60 @ 80.0¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics
  No$60 @ 80.5¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$60 @ 70.4¢
• Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Tech
  No$60 @ 74.4¢
• World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?Sports
  No$60 @ 78.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Other
  No$60 @ 99.6¢
• Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?Tech
  No$60 @ 93.1¢
• Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Tech
  No$60 @ 89.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$60 @ 90.4¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?—
  No$60 @ 99.6¢
• Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Tech
  No$60 @ 95.2¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$60 @ 80.5¢