← Smart money
0xb1a2…372a
SharpROI
+67%
Win rate
31%
Brier
0.107
Resolved
530
Avg size
$408
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | -0% | 2 |
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -0%
Track record
50% hit · 1/2| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $199.4k | 99.7¢ | Won |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $1.0k | 21.0¢ | Lost |
- No$199.4k @ 99.7¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 21.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Politics | No | $19.6k | 98.0¢ |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | No | $16.9k | 33.9¢ |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $11.3k | 8.6¢ |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $9.6k | 32.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $9.0k | 84.0¢ |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | No | $8.7k | 87.0¢ |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Economy | No | $6.5k | 65.0¢ |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $3.9k | 16.2¢ |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $2.0k | 20.0¢ |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $162 | 35.0¢ |
- Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsNo$19.6k @ 98.0¢
- No$16.9k @ 33.9¢
- Yes$11.3k @ 8.6¢
- Yes$9.6k @ 32.0¢
- No$9.0k @ 84.0¢
- No$8.7k @ 87.0¢
- Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$6.5k @ 65.0¢
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$3.9k @ 16.2¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 20.0¢
- Yes$162 @ 35.0¢