0xb1a2…372a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.5pp

ROI

+78%

Win rate

38% @ 27.6¢

Brier

0.132

Resolved

588

Avg size

$402

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (9/19)	+67%	19
Crypto	50% (1/2)	-0%	2
Politics	100% (1/1)	+44%	1

Other19 bets
Hit rate
47% (9/19)
ROI
+67%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-0%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+44%

Track record

50% hit · 11/22

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$4.1k	81.0¢	Won
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$510	5.1¢	Lost
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	$4.6k	15.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$18.3k	45.7¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$17.8k	57.3¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$394	8.4¢	Lost
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	Yes	$2.5k	12.1¢	Lost
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$970	4.6¢	Lost
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$303	10.1¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$13.2k	69.2¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	$12.8k	51.4¢	Won
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	Yes	$235	47.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$8.8k	28.8¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$17.0k	10.5¢	Lost
Rams vs. Bears	Bears	$940	47.0¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	$2.6k	10.4¢	Lost
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	$973	19.0¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	$33.0k	84.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$69.6k	87.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$13.5k	10.4¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$199.4k	99.7¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.0k	21.0¢	Lost

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 81.0¢
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$510 @ 5.1¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Lost
No$4.6k @ 15.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$18.3k @ 45.7¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$17.8k @ 57.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$394 @ 8.4¢
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Lost
Yes$2.5k @ 12.1¢
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$970 @ 4.6¢
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Won
Yes$303 @ 10.1¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$13.2k @ 69.2¢
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Won
Yes$12.8k @ 51.4¢
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Lost
Yes$235 @ 47.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
Yes$8.8k @ 28.8¢
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Lost
Yes$17.0k @ 10.5¢
Rams vs. BearsLost
Bears$940 @ 47.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Lost
No$2.6k @ 10.4¢
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Won
Sean Strickland$973 @ 19.0¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Won
No$33.0k @ 84.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
No$69.6k @ 87.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$13.5k @ 10.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$199.4k @ 99.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 21.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$44.0k	73.8¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$11.3k	8.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$11.2k	23.5¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.7k	3.9¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.0k	20.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$659	2.2¢
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	Sports	Yes	$608	83.7¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$261	26.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$73	4.0¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$44.0k @ 73.8¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$11.3k @ 8.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$11.2k @ 23.5¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$2.7k @ 3.9¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
Yes$2.0k @ 20.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Geopolitics
Yes$659 @ 2.2¢
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?Sports
Yes$608 @ 83.7¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$261 @ 26.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$73 @ 4.0¢