0xaff6…d1fd

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xaff6588d7ba1a1f3f27a408d52ba7058fd26d1fd
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.1pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

77% @ 61.5¢

Brier

0.172

Resolved

201

Avg size

$110

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (38/60)	+23%	60
Sports	33% (3/9)	+99%	9
Politics	83% (5/6)	+40%	6
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other60 bets
Hit rate
63% (38/60)
ROI
+23%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
33% (3/9)
ROI
+99%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+40%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

61% hit · 46/76

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	$154	22.6¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Kings	Pistons	$34	76.0¢	Won
Basket Zaragoza vs. CB Murcia	CB Murcia	$1.2k	70.0¢	Won
Will FC København win on 2026-08-06?	Yes	$100	56.0¢	Won
Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	$160	30.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Blockade" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	Yes	$348	80.5¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$98	28.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$117	70.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Clippers	Spurs	$209	62.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	$189	44.0¢	Won
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	$194	65.0¢	Lost
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?	Yes	$17	80.0¢	Won
Pallacanestro Brescia vs. Pallacanestro Trieste	Pallacanestro Brescia	$330	75.0¢	Won
Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score	No	$200	50.0¢	Lost
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	$40	59.1¢	Lost
Virtus Bologna vs. Aquila Basket Trento	Virtus Bologna	$400	80.0¢	Won
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$453	85.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	No	$103	69.9¢	Won
Alba Berlin vs. Chemnitz 99	Alba Berlin	$397	77.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	No	$317	88.0¢	Won
Fenerbahce vs. Anadolu Efes	Fenerbahce	$218	78.0¢	Won
Real Madrid vs. CB Breogan Lugo	Real Madrid	$14	85.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$353	82.0¢	Won
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$624	56.8¢	Won
Winter Games 2026: Athlete to be stripped of medal?	No	$175	54.9¢	Won
Granada vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	$52	80.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$222	60.0¢	Won
Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	$455	57.4¢	Lost
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	$1.0k	54.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5	Under	$10	13.0¢	Lost
Virtus Bologna vs. Pallacanestro Varese	Virtus Bologna	$49	80.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	Yes	$357	85.0¢	Won
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	$1.0k	52.2¢	Won
Thunder vs. Pistons	Thunder	$52	22.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$135	13.1¢	Won
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?	Yes	$56	56.0¢	Lost
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$500	50.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?	No	$100	82.0¢	Lost
Esenler Erokspor vs. Fenerbahce	Esenler Erokspor	$171	32.2¢	Lost
Esenler Erokspor vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	$317	79.7¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$139	77.0¢	Won
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$524	37.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?	Yes	$52	86.0¢	Won
Nothing Ever Happens: December	Yes	$104	75.0¢	Won
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	Yes	$106	20.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$47	46.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?	No	$18	86.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$98	37.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Inflation" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	Yes	$1000	87.7¢	Lost

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
Yes$154 @ 22.6¢
Pistons vs. KingsWon
Pistons$34 @ 76.0¢
Basket Zaragoza vs. CB MurciaWon
CB Murcia$1.2k @ 70.0¢
Will FC København win on 2026-08-06?Won
Yes$100 @ 56.0¢
Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-25?Won
Yes$160 @ 30.0¢
Will Trump say "Blockade" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Lost
Yes$348 @ 80.5¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
France$98 @ 28.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$117 @ 70.0¢
Spurs vs. ClippersWon
Spurs$209 @ 62.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$100 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Won
Manchester City FC$189 @ 44.0¢
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Lost
Yes$194 @ 65.0¢
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Won
Yes$17 @ 80.0¢
Pallacanestro Brescia vs. Pallacanestro TriesteWon
Pallacanestro Brescia$330 @ 75.0¢
Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$200 @ 50.0¢
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Lost
Yes$40 @ 59.1¢
Virtus Bologna vs. Aquila Basket TrentoWon
Virtus Bologna$400 @ 80.0¢
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Won
Yes$453 @ 85.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Won
No$103 @ 69.9¢
Alba Berlin vs. Chemnitz 99Won
Alba Berlin$397 @ 77.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?Won
No$317 @ 88.0¢
Fenerbahce vs. Anadolu EfesWon
Fenerbahce$218 @ 78.0¢
Real Madrid vs. CB Breogan LugoLost
Real Madrid$14 @ 85.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$353 @ 82.0¢
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$624 @ 56.8¢
Winter Games 2026: Athlete to be stripped of medal?Won
No$175 @ 54.9¢
Granada vs. BarcelonaWon
Barcelona$52 @ 80.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
No$222 @ 60.0¢
Pistons vs. MagicLost
Pistons$455 @ 57.4¢
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Won
Knicks$1.0k @ 54.0¢
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$10 @ 13.0¢
Virtus Bologna vs. Pallacanestro VareseWon
Virtus Bologna$49 @ 80.0¢
Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Won
Yes$357 @ 85.0¢
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real MadridWon
Real Madrid$1.0k @ 52.2¢
Thunder vs. PistonsLost
Thunder$52 @ 22.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$135 @ 13.1¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?Lost
Yes$56 @ 56.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Lost
No$500 @ 50.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?Lost
No$100 @ 82.0¢
Esenler Erokspor vs. FenerbahceLost
Esenler Erokspor$171 @ 32.2¢
Esenler Erokspor vs. FenerbahceWon
Fenerbahce$317 @ 79.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$139 @ 77.0¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?Lost
Yes$524 @ 37.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?Won
Yes$52 @ 86.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberWon
Yes$104 @ 75.0¢
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Lost
Yes$106 @ 20.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$47 @ 46.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Lost
No$18 @ 86.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Won
Yes$98 @ 37.0¢
Will Trump say "Inflation" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Lost
Yes$1000 @ 87.7¢

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