0xafa7…6e67

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics59 bets

  Hit rate

  68% (40/59)

  ROI

  +26%

• Other51 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (36/51)

  ROI

  +49%

• Geopolitics13 bets

  Hit rate

  85% (11/13)

  ROI

  +25%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +270%

• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 61.0¢
• Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Won
  No$8 @ 72.0¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$8 @ 86.0¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Won
  No$11 @ 53.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$23 @ 68.8¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$88 @ 69.2¢
• Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Won
  No$8 @ 54.0¢
• Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 48.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$276 @ 81.3¢
• Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Lost
  No$22 @ 49.0¢
• Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$20 @ 82.8¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
  No$17 @ 36.8¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Won
  No$13 @ 86.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
  No$115 @ 86.5¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$6 @ 69.0¢
• Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Lost
  No$6 @ 66.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
  No$24 @ 71.8¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$256 @ 72.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$117 @ 41.2¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$123 @ 79.8¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
  No$18 @ 55.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$37 @ 88.5¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Won
  No$55 @ 84.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$20 @ 55.6¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
  No$64 @ 53.9¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$35 @ 69.8¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Won
  No$29 @ 72.2¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 44.2¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Won
  No$87 @ 74.1¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$39 @ 63.7¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
  Yes$27 @ 13.6¢
• Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$31 @ 80.1¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$50 @ 82.8¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$20 @ 87.7¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Won
  No$11 @ 82.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
  Yes$5 @ 58.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 25.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$28 @ 89.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$56 @ 51.0¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Lost
  Yes$48 @ 68.4¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$64 @ 86.8¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Won
  No$6 @ 34.9¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 51.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$95 @ 78.3¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Won
  No$60 @ 85.6¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$148 @ 45.6¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$94 @ 71.8¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Won
  No$42 @ 64.1¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Won
  No$21 @ 57.3¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
  Yes$5 @ 42.9¢

Current positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$419 @ 80.2¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics
  No$258 @ 95.1¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$238 @ 57.3¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$194 @ 90.0¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics
  Yes$185 @ 88.6¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$135 @ 89.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$121 @ 80.5¢
• Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$94 @ 83.2¢
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$83 @ 92.7¢
• Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$75 @ 87.9¢
• Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
  No$56 @ 52.3¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$51 @ 81.8¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$46 @ 67.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$46 @ 54.0¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$46 @ 68.9¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Politics
  No$45 @ 73.0¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Politics
  No$45 @ 68.8¢
• Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$44 @ 89.3¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics
  No$34 @ 63.2¢
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Politics
  No$32 @ 73.2¢
• NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Politics
  No$26 @ 98.0¢
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$22 @ 40.2¢
• Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$22 @ 70.0¢
• Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$22 @ 94.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Politics
  No$19 @ 69.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?Politics
  No$17 @ 48.2¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Politics
  No$17 @ 62.7¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Politics
  Yes$9 @ 42.0¢
• Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$9 @ 61.9¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics
  No$6 @ 73.0¢