← Smart money
0xae2a…384d
SharpEdge
+3.8pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
64% @ 59.9¢
Brier
0.185
Resolved
1553
Avg size
$12
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Science | 62% (636/1033) | -5% | 1033 |
| Politics | 54% (188/345) | +5% | 345 |
| Other | 66% (152/229) | -4% | 229 |
| Culture | 57% (67/117) | +17% | 117 |
| Sports | 68% (32/47) | -9% | 47 |
| Tech | 65% (26/40) | +15% | 40 |
| Economy | 59% (16/27) | -4% | 27 |
| Geopolitics | 58% (7/12) | +17% | 12 |
| Crypto | 33% (3/9) | -6% | 9 |
- Science1033 bets
- Hit rate
- 62% (636/1033)
- ROI
- -5%
- Politics345 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (188/345)
- ROI
- +5%
- Other229 bets
- Hit rate
- 66% (152/229)
- ROI
- -4%
- Culture117 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (67/117)
- ROI
- +17%
- Sports47 bets
- Hit rate
- 68% (32/47)
- ROI
- -9%
- Tech40 bets
- Hit rate
- 65% (26/40)
- ROI
- +15%
- Economy27 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (16/27)
- ROI
- -4%
- Geopolitics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 58% (7/12)
- ROI
- +17%
- Crypto9 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (3/9)
- ROI
- -6%
Track record
61% hit · 1127/1859- Yes$18 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 6.1¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%?LostYes$9 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$21 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$21 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$6 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$6 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$8 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$7 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$134 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$134 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$126 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$119 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$68 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 12.4¢
- Yes$60 @ 14.2¢
- Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 82% or more?PoliticsYes$51 @ 20.0¢