0xa97e…24ff

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa97e43db0a4a6007899abf75817c452d5a7224ff
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+1.1pp

ROI

+34%

Win rate

5% @ 3.8¢

Brier

0.043

Resolved

3128

Avg size

$10

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	7% (31/432)	+42%	432
Crypto	0% (0/36)	-100%	36
Politics	0% (0/13)	-100%	13
Geopolitics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other432 bets
Hit rate
7% (31/432)
ROI
+42%
Crypto36 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/36)
ROI
-100%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/13)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

6% hit · 31/486

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?	No	$2	37.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	$30	2.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	$40	2.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9?	No	$51	1.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?	No	$18	2.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14?	No	$18	0.9¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	No	$338	28.7¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	No	$251	12.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?	Yes	$42	0.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?	Yes	$329	3.7¢	Lost
Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?	No	$1.3k	21.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?	No	$90	4.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 21?	No	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?	No	$32	1.1¢	Lost
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?	No	$150	30.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?	Yes	$5	0.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23?	No	$87	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7?	Yes	$10	2.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?	Yes	$7	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?	Yes	$7	0.2¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$301	43.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?	No	$90	2.2¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$4	1.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?	No	$87	3.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?	Yes	$2	2.6¢	Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	Yes	$26	4.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?	No	$43	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 21?	Yes	$31	1.3¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by February 28?	Yes	$6	2.8¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$845	6.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?	No	$8	0.7¢	Lost
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 17?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	4.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?	Yes	$34	3.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 20?	No	$9	3.2¢	Lost
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will Netflix reach $105 in February?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 18?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	Yes	$32	8.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14?	Yes	$8	1.2¢	Lost
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 19?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	$11	1.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	No	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 4?	No	$23	1.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 3?	No	$4	0.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	No	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	Yes	$279	9.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25?	No	$11	2.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	No	$11	0.5¢	Lost

Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 37.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Lost
No$30 @ 2.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Lost
No$40 @ 2.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9?Lost
No$51 @ 1.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?Lost
No$18 @ 2.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14?Lost
No$18 @ 0.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Lost
No$338 @ 28.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Lost
No$251 @ 12.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?Lost
Yes$42 @ 0.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?Lost
Yes$329 @ 3.7¢
Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?Lost
No$1.3k @ 21.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?Lost
No$90 @ 4.4¢
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 21?Lost
No$1 @ 1.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Lost
No$32 @ 1.1¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?Lost
No$150 @ 30.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23?Lost
No$87 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$301 @ 43.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?Lost
No$90 @ 2.2¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?Lost
No$87 @ 3.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.6¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Lost
Yes$26 @ 4.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?Lost
No$43 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 21?Lost
Yes$31 @ 1.3¢
US forces enter Iran by February 28?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
Yes$845 @ 6.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?Lost
No$8 @ 0.7¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 4.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?Lost
Yes$34 @ 3.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 20?Lost
No$9 @ 3.2¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Netflix reach $105 in February?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 18?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Lost
Yes$32 @ 8.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.2¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 19?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?Lost
No$2 @ 0.9¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 4?Lost
No$23 @ 1.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 3?Lost
No$4 @ 0.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?Lost
No$2 @ 0.1¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Lost
Yes$279 @ 9.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25?Lost
No$11 @ 2.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?Lost
No$11 @ 0.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	26.8¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$434	31.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$411	8.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Politics	No	$170	11.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Business	No	$100	58.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$100	34.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$100	23.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Politics	No	$100	18.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Politics	No	$65	8.2¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$45	26.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Geopolitics	No	$30	13.0¢
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$24	13.0¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$15	26.0¢
Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$15	7.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Politics	No	$15	8.5¢
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Politics	No	$10	34.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	34.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Geopolitics	No	$10	6.3¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$8	2.9¢
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$8	12.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$3	7.2¢

US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 26.8¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
Yes$434 @ 31.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$411 @ 8.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Politics
No$170 @ 11.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?Business
No$100 @ 58.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$100 @ 34.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$100 @ 23.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
No$100 @ 18.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Politics
No$65 @ 8.2¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
No$45 @ 26.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Geopolitics
No$30 @ 13.0¢
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?Politics
Yes$24 @ 13.0¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$15 @ 26.0¢
Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?Geopolitics
No$15 @ 7.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Politics
No$15 @ 8.5¢
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 34.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 34.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Geopolitics
No$10 @ 6.3¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Politics
Yes$8 @ 2.9¢
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$8 @ 12.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$3 @ 7.2¢