← Market consensus
PoliticsActiveends Nov 3, 2026

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

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Yes

85.7¢

No

14.3¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢ smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Strong
Yes 85%No 15%
4 shown ·
0xe533…ab29Profitable
Yes$194 @ 82.3¢
Conv
2.4×
ROI
+9%
Win%
29%
Yes$70 @ 84.2¢
Conv
0.6×
ROI
+18%
Win%
90%
No$45 @ 61.0¢
Conv
1.1×
ROI
+22%
Win%
76%
0x28b8…5e00Profitable
No$2 @ 15.0¢
Conv
1.0×
ROI
+63%
Win%
52%