← Smart money
0xa88f…01e0
ProfitableEdge
+20.1pp
ROI
+41%
Win rate
64% @ 43.7¢
Brier
0.287
Resolved
83
Avg size
$26
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (8/16) | +35% | 16 |
| Sports | 75% (6/8) | +12% | 8 |
| Politics | 67% (2/3) | +42% | 3 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +54% | 1 |
- Other16 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (8/16)
- ROI
- +35%
- Sports8 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (6/8)
- ROI
- +12%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +42%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +54%
Track record
61% hit · 17/28- Yes$20 @ 68.7¢
- Yes$8 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 83.0¢
- No$33 @ 71.9¢
- Yes$715 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 68.1¢
- Yes$26 @ 75.5¢
- Yes$22 @ 7.7¢
- Yes$78 @ 77.6¢
- Yes$32 @ 19.1¢
- Yes$100 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 75.2¢
- Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 50.0¢
- No$100 @ 34.8¢
- Yes$30 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$730 @ 35.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 54.4¢
- Yes$23 @ 40.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | — | Yes | $20 | 68.7¢ |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | — | Yes | $10 | 74.0¢ |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | — | Yes | $10 | 58.0¢ |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | — | Yes | $8 | 76.0¢ |
- Yes$20 @ 68.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 76.0¢