0xa7d0…88f6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa7d0d6c5673c2eace310b621c9f328cf940f88f6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.7pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

48% @ 37.7¢

Brier

0.156

Resolved

610

Avg size

$11

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (51/120)	+16%	120
Politics	29% (2/7)	+5%	7
Sports	60% (3/5)	+53%	5
Tech	25% (1/4)	+183%	4

Other120 bets
Hit rate
43% (51/120)
ROI
+16%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
29% (2/7)
ROI
+5%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+53%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+183%

Track record

42% hit · 57/136

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$100	58.5¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$50	58.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	$25	25.0¢	Lost
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	$35	35.0¢	Won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	$36	18.0¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	$138	23.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	$2	4.3¢	Lost
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)	Fnatic	$28	40.0¢	Lost
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)	Movistar KOI	$15	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 22?	No	$20	87.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 22?	Yes	$10	75.2¢	Lost
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	$2	5.1¢	Lost
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)	Bilibili Gaming	$22	37.7¢	Lost
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)	FlyQuest	$10	39.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 12?	No	$10	51.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 1?	Yes	$35	1.0¢	Lost
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?	No	$21	37.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 22?	No	$105	71.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 22?	Yes	$40	33.6¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)	Gen.G	$8	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 7?	No	$99	64.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on April 2?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 3?	Yes	$19	75.0¢	Lost
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?	Yes	$6	15.9¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$66	66.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 22?	No	$149	88.8¢	Won
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)	CTBC Flying Oyster	$12	61.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 9?	Yes	$1	16.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 5?	Yes	$120	66.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 6?	No	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 6?	Yes	$51	34.1¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 24?	No	$19	78.4¢	Won
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)	T1	$22	36.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 25?	No	$3	38.0¢	Won
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs	Team WE	$41	42.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?	Yes	$14	16.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 5?	Yes	$5	10.6¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)	Gen.G	$6	63.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?	Yes	$17	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on April 3?	Yes	$8	10.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)	Team Secret Whales	$26	14.1¢	Lost
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Top Esports	$256	50.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 26?	No	$99	64.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 29?	No	$199	67.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 29?	Yes	$7	12.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?	No	$146	82.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?	Yes	$22	19.7¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)	Vivo Keyd Stars	$6	9.0¢	Lost

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$100 @ 58.5¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
No$50 @ 58.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageLost
Team Liquid$25 @ 25.0¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageWon
Karmine Corp$35 @ 35.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group StageWon
Movistar KOI$36 @ 18.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageLost
Invictus Gaming$138 @ 23.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Lost
No$2 @ 4.3¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)Lost
Fnatic$28 @ 40.0¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)Won
Movistar KOI$15 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 22?Won
No$20 @ 87.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 22?Lost
Yes$10 @ 75.2¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Lost
No$2 @ 5.1¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)Lost
Bilibili Gaming$22 @ 37.7¢
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)Lost
FlyQuest$10 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 12?Lost
No$10 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 1?Lost
Yes$35 @ 1.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?Lost
No$21 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 22?Won
No$105 @ 71.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 22?Lost
Yes$40 @ 33.6¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)Won
Gen.G$8 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 7?Lost
No$99 @ 64.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on April 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 3?Lost
Yes$19 @ 75.0¢
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?Lost
Yes$6 @ 15.9¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$66 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 22?Won
No$149 @ 88.8¢
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)Lost
CTBC Flying Oyster$12 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 5?Won
Yes$120 @ 66.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 6?Lost
No$1 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 6?Won
Yes$51 @ 34.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 24?Won
No$19 @ 78.4¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Won
T1$22 @ 36.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 25?Won
No$3 @ 38.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsLost
Team WE$41 @ 42.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?Lost
Yes$14 @ 16.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 5?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.6¢
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)Won
Gen.G$6 @ 63.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Won
Yes$17 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on April 3?Lost
Yes$8 @ 10.0¢
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)Lost
Team Secret Whales$26 @ 14.1¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 WinnerWon
Top Esports$256 @ 50.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 26?Won
No$99 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 29?Won
No$199 @ 67.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 29?Lost
Yes$7 @ 12.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?Won
No$146 @ 82.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?Lost
Yes$22 @ 19.7¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)Lost
Vivo Keyd Stars$6 @ 9.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$225	82.3¢
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$52	33.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$50	84.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$27	11.3¢
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$10	7.6¢
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$9	83.0¢
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$3	6.7¢

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$225 @ 82.3¢
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$52 @ 33.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$50 @ 84.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
No$27 @ 11.3¢
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$10 @ 7.6¢
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
No$9 @ 83.0¢
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$3 @ 6.7¢