← Smart money
0xa61e…0abd
SharpEdge
+5.0pp
ROI
+58%
Win rate
12% @ 7.0¢
Brier
0.021
Resolved
1234
Avg size
$39
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 18% (2/11) | +30% | 11 |
| Sports | 14% (1/7) | -47% | 7 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +10% | 1 |
- Politics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 18% (2/11)
- ROI
- +30%
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (1/7)
- ROI
- -47%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +10%
Track record
21% hit · 4/19- No$7.5k @ 5.0¢
- No$8.3k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$922 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$893 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 0.1¢
- No$44.4k @ 59.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$19 @ 0.1¢
- No$6.8k @ 91.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 0.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
- No$19.8k @ 33.0¢
- No$17.6k @ 29.5¢
- No$25.8k @ 43.0¢
- No$10.8k @ 24.0¢
- No$11.4k @ 19.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.3¢
- No$611 @ 0.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$32.5k @ 30.9¢
- No$20.7k @ 79.5¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$18.0k @ 94.5¢
- Yes$17.3k @ 0.8¢
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10.6k @ 95.7¢
- No$8.3k @ 83.0¢
- No$8.3k @ 82.7¢
- No$7.5k @ 5.0¢
- Yes$4.8k @ 88.9¢
- No$4.3k @ 86.0¢
- No$4.3k @ 84.4¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 57.1¢
- No$3.5k @ 85.9¢
- No$3.4k @ 75.0¢
- No$2.8k @ 81.2¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 14.8¢
- No$2.8k @ 70.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 0.6¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 75.9¢
- No$1.4k @ 95.1¢
- No$1.3k @ 84.3¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 0.6¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 0.4¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 0.2¢
- Yes$397 @ 80.7¢
- No$345 @ 23.0¢
- No$340 @ 75.6¢
- Anthropic$302 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$183 @ 7.2¢
- No$120 @ 80.0¢