0xa5d3…a6c6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa5d3be6c4ef51b9e5f69b21be3e8c4a692c4a6c6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+46.7pp

ROI

+112%

Win rate

67% @ 19.9¢

Brier

0.547

Resolved

546

Avg size

$41

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	40% (23/57)	+92%	57
Sports	40% (2/5)	+244%	5
Politics	33% (1/3)	+17%	3

Other57 bets
Hit rate
40% (23/57)
ROI
+92%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+244%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+17%

Track record

40% hit · 26/65

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$150	87.9¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?	Yes	$65	26.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?	Yes	$2.4k	50.4¢	Won
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?	Yes	$73	0.5¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	Yes	$180	44.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 12?	Yes	$130	26.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	Yes	$137	84.0¢	Lost
Will the next Pope be from North America?	Yes	$21	1.8¢	Won
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	$84	16.8¢	Lost
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	$4	17.0¢	Lost
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?	No	$121	26.3¢	Lost
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	$192	13.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?	Yes	$11	2.5¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.4k	8.9¢	Lost
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	$67	47.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 13?	Yes	$414	79.0¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	$521	10.2¢	Lost
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-10?	No	$10	49.0¢	Won
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?	No	$14	54.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	$99	44.0¢	Lost
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$83	4.7¢	Lost
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$313	7.6¢	Lost
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$23	48.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?	Yes	$63	42.0¢	Lost
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?	No	$12	77.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 16?	Yes	$500	89.0¢	Won
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 12 above $335?	Yes	$342	60.4¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?	Yes	$294	58.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?	Yes	$176	88.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.1k	16.7¢	Won
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?	No	$306	61.2¢	Won
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 12 above $330?	Yes	$1.3k	66.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 14?	Yes	$387	76.3¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?	Yes	$241	63.9¢	Won
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	$160	79.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.2k	75.6¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?	Yes	$13	19.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15?	Yes	$1.3k	77.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	Yes	$431	60.9¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?	No	$160	40.0¢	Lost
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Lost
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov	Dimitrov	$25	5.6¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$145	37.8¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$12	12.1¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$19	18.2¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$43	13.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?	Yes	$409	58.4¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 17?	Yes	$155	20.8¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?	Yes	$45	78.0¢	Lost
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic	Djokovic	$175	35.0¢	Lost

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$150 @ 87.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?Lost
Yes$65 @ 26.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Won
Yes$2.4k @ 50.4¢
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?Won
Yes$73 @ 0.5¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Lost
Yes$180 @ 44.9¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 12?Lost
Yes$130 @ 26.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?Lost
Yes$137 @ 84.0¢
Will the next Pope be from North America?Won
Yes$21 @ 1.8¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Lost
Yes$84 @ 16.8¢
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Lost
Yes$4 @ 17.0¢
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?Lost
No$121 @ 26.3¢
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?Lost
Yes$192 @ 13.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?Lost
Yes$11 @ 2.5¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 8.9¢
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Lost
No$67 @ 47.1¢
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 13?Won
Yes$414 @ 79.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$521 @ 10.2¢
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-10?Won
No$10 @ 49.0¢
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?Won
No$14 @ 54.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Lost
Yes$99 @ 44.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$83 @ 4.7¢
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Lost
Yes$313 @ 7.6¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Won
Yes$23 @ 48.0¢
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?Lost
Yes$63 @ 42.0¢
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?Won
No$12 @ 77.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 16?Won
Yes$500 @ 89.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 12 above $335?Lost
Yes$342 @ 60.4¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Won
Yes$294 @ 58.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?Lost
Yes$176 @ 88.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 16.7¢
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? Won
No$306 @ 61.2¢
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 12 above $330?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 66.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 14?Won
Yes$387 @ 76.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?Won
Yes$241 @ 63.9¢
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Won
Yes$160 @ 79.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 75.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?Lost
Yes$13 @ 19.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 77.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Lost
Yes$431 @ 60.9¢
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?Lost
No$160 @ 40.0¢
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov Lost
Dimitrov $25 @ 5.6¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$145 @ 37.8¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
No$12 @ 12.1¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$19 @ 18.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$43 @ 13.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?Won
Yes$409 @ 58.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 17?Lost
Yes$155 @ 20.8¢
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?Lost
Yes$45 @ 78.0¢
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic Lost
Djokovic $175 @ 35.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$809	91.6¢
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Politics	Yes	$473	12.8¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$175	87.6¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	Politics	No	$124	94.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	Politics	No	$77	95.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?	Politics	No	$7	95.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	Politics	No	$5	93.0¢

Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Politics
Yes$809 @ 91.6¢
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Politics
Yes$473 @ 12.8¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$175 @ 87.6¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?Politics
No$124 @ 94.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Politics
No$77 @ 95.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?Politics
No$7 @ 95.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Politics
No$5 @ 93.0¢