0xa33d…3ef2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa33d25630fb8b779ea9744bc6dfab536272f3ef2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-3.1pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

52% @ 55.1¢

Brier

0.195

Resolved

1738

Avg size

$10

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (627/1205)	+6%	1205
Science	51% (112/221)	-13%	221
Politics	59% (30/51)	+1%	51
Geopolitics	67% (4/6)	+23%	6
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other1205 bets
Hit rate
52% (627/1205)
ROI
+6%
Science221 bets
Hit rate
51% (112/221)
ROI
-13%
Politics51 bets
Hit rate
59% (30/51)
ROI
+1%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+23%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

52% hit · 773/1485

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 3?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 3?	Yes	$10	59.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 3?	No	$10	65.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 3?	Yes	$10	67.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 3?	Yes	$10	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 3?	Yes	$10	57.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 3?	No	$10	69.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 2?	No	$5	72.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	$10	67.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 2?	No	$5	67.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 2?	No	$10	66.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 2?	No	$10	64.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?	No	$10	69.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	$10	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	$10	57.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	$5	54.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 2?	Yes	$5	41.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 2?	Yes	$10	67.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 2?	No	$10	61.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 2?	No	$10	60.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 2?	Yes	$10	64.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 1?	No	$3	69.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 9?	No	$1	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 1?	No	$3	67.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?	No	$25	86.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 20?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 27?	No	$1	64.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?	Yes	$2	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 3?	No	$2	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 17?	Yes	$2	37.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 23?	Yes	$1	35.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 22?	Yes	$5	49.0¢	Lost
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	$52	83.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?	No	$3	62.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	$5	50.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 26?	No	$2	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 21?	Yes	$1	42.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?	No	$25	72.4¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$10	53.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?	Yes	$1	49.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 29?	Yes	$5	51.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 1?	No	$5	71.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 28?	No	$1	62.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 5?	Yes	$10	41.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 20?	Yes	$1	1.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 23?	Yes	$1	37.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 21?	Yes	$5	37.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 7?	Yes	$1	2.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 10?	Yes	$1	2.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 3?	No	$51	72.0¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 3?Won
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 3?Won
Yes$10 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 3?Lost
No$10 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 3?Won
Yes$10 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 3?Won
Yes$10 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 3?Lost
Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 3?Lost
No$10 @ 69.4¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 2?Won
No$5 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?Won
No$10 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 2?Lost
No$5 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 2?Lost
No$10 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 2?Won
No$10 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?Lost
No$10 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 2?Won
Yes$10 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2?Lost
Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 2?Won
Yes$5 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 2?Lost
Yes$5 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 2?Won
Yes$10 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 2?Lost
No$10 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 2?Lost
No$10 @ 60.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 2?Lost
Yes$10 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 1?Lost
No$3 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 9?Won
No$1 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 1?Won
No$3 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?Won
No$25 @ 86.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 27?Won
No$1 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?Lost
Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 3?Won
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 23?Lost
Yes$1 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 22?Lost
Yes$5 @ 49.0¢
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Lost
Yes$52 @ 83.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?Lost
No$3 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?Won
Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 26?Won
No$2 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?Lost
No$25 @ 72.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 29?Lost
Yes$5 @ 51.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 1?Lost
No$5 @ 71.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 28?Lost
No$1 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 5?Won
Yes$10 @ 41.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 23?Lost
Yes$1 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 21?Lost
Yes$5 @ 37.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 7?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 3?Won
No$51 @ 72.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$101	65.9¢
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$25	34.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$20	59.0¢
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	Geopolitics	No	$13	79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 3?	Science	Yes	$10	50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 3?	Science	No	$10	69.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?	—	Yes	$10	60.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 3?	Science	No	$10	70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 3?	Science	No	$10	69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 3?	Science	No	$10	66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 4?	Science	No	$10	68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 3?	Science	Yes	$10	67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 3?	Science	No	$10	67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 3?	Science	No	$10	65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 4?	Science	No	$10	62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 4?	Science	No	$10	62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 3?	Science	No	$10	61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 4?	Science	No	$10	60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 3?	Science	Yes	$10	59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 3?	Science	Yes	$10	57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 3?	Science	Yes	$10	56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4?	Politics	No	$10	56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 4?	Science	Yes	$10	54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 4?	Science	Yes	$10	54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 4?	Science	Yes	$10	49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 4?	Science	Yes	$10	45.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$6	33.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 4?	Science	No	$5	65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 4?	Science	No	$5	55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4?	Science	No	$5	56.0¢

Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
Yes$101 @ 65.9¢
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$25 @ 34.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$20 @ 59.0¢
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboGeopolitics
No$13 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 3?Science
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 3?Science
No$10 @ 69.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?—
Yes$10 @ 60.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 3?Science
No$10 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 3?Science
No$10 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 3?Science
No$10 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 4?Science
No$10 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 3?Science
Yes$10 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 3?Science
No$10 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 3?Science
No$10 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 4?Science
No$10 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 4?Science
No$10 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 3?Science
No$10 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 4?Science
No$10 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 3?Science
Yes$10 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 3?Science
Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 3?Science
Yes$10 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4?Politics
No$10 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 4?Science
Yes$10 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 4?Science
Yes$10 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 4?Science
Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 4?Science
Yes$10 @ 45.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$6 @ 33.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 4?Science
No$5 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 4?Science
No$5 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4?Science
No$5 @ 56.0¢