← Smart money
0xa30e…49d5
SharpEdge
+19.6pp
ROI
+19%
Win rate
100% @ 80.4¢
Brier
0.041
Resolved
31
Avg size
$3.5k
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 100% (7/7) | +19% | 7 |
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (7/7)
- ROI
- +19%
Track record
100% hit · 7/7| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | Yes | $7.2k | 89.0¢ | Won |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | $9.8k | 75.0¢ | Won |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Yes | $4.0k | 80.0¢ | Won |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | $1.1k | 82.5¢ | Won |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | $8.8k | 73.8¢ | Won |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $74.2k | 86.1¢ | Won |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | $4.9k | 86.0¢ | Won |
- Yes$7.2k @ 89.0¢
- No$9.8k @ 75.0¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 80.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 82.5¢
- Yes$8.8k @ 73.8¢
- No$74.2k @ 86.1¢
- No$4.9k @ 86.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$51.1k @ 83.2¢
- No$39.2k @ 98.8¢
- No$24.6k @ 98.2¢
- Yes$21.9k @ 83.3¢
- No$9.8k @ 99.1¢
- No$8.4k @ 86.9¢
- Yes$8.1k @ 81.0¢
- No$5.5k @ 93.0¢
- No$5.3k @ 91.7¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 94.2¢
- No$2.4k @ 91.8¢
- No$1.9k @ 66.0¢
- Yes$465 @ 92.5¢
- Yes$160 @ 3.3¢