0xa2e9…6af7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa2e95a54c738ff9d070888584c593ee94bd46af7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+26.1pp

ROI

+54%

Win rate

88% @ 61.7¢

Brier

0.170

Resolved

Avg size

$20

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	85% (11/13)	+40%	13
Other	89% (8/9)	+88%	9
Sports	67% (2/3)	+31%	3
Geopolitics	100% (3/3)	+36%	3

Politics13 bets
Hit rate
85% (11/13)
ROI
+40%
Other9 bets
Hit rate
89% (8/9)
ROI
+88%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+31%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+36%

Track record

86% hit · 24/28

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$60	64.7¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$40	73.3¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$30	59.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$20	72.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$9	82.7¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$30	71.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$20	59.9¢	Won
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?	Yes	$50	67.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$30	64.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$40	81.0¢	Won
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Belgium	$10	47.0¢	Won
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$5	36.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$40	79.4¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$80	66.8¢	Won
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$10	81.7¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	43.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	$30	70.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$80	34.2¢	Won
Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	$30	90.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	$20	47.4¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	$30	82.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	$10	89.2¢	Won
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$10	58.0¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$50	62.2¢	Won
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Max Holloway	$40	67.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$20	43.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	Yes	$20	62.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	No	$10	57.0¢	Won

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$60 @ 64.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$40 @ 73.3¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$30 @ 59.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$20 @ 72.0¢
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Won
Yes$9 @ 82.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Won
No$30 @ 71.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$20 @ 59.9¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Won
Yes$50 @ 67.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
No$30 @ 64.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$40 @ 81.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWon
Belgium$10 @ 47.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
No$5 @ 36.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$40 @ 79.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$80 @ 66.8¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$10 @ 81.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$5 @ 43.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Won
No$30 @ 70.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
Yes$80 @ 34.2¢
Iran leadership change by April 30?Won
No$30 @ 90.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Lost
Yes$20 @ 47.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Won
No$30 @ 82.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Won
No$10 @ 89.2¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
No$10 @ 58.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$50 @ 62.2¢
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Max Holloway$40 @ 67.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Won
Yes$20 @ 43.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Won
Yes$20 @ 62.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Won
No$10 @ 57.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	Politics	No	$20	75.8¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Tech	No	$20	61.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$0	0.0¢

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?Politics
No$20 @ 75.8¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech
No$20 @ 61.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$0 @ 0.0¢