0xa1cc…fa62

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa1ccbdf50b8674fe41e9cccd8af208dc44b5fa62
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.9pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

57% @ 49.7¢

Brier

0.208

Resolved

368

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	54% (79/145)	+15%	145
Politics	55% (73/133)	+17%	133
Science	75% (43/57)	+17%	57
Geopolitics	54% (19/35)	-17%	35
Crypto	41% (9/22)	+5%	22
Other	58% (11/19)	-12%	19
Culture	78% (14/18)	+6%	18
Tech	53% (9/17)	-11%	17
Business	56% (5/9)	-28%	9
Economy	86% (6/7)	+44%	7

Sports145 bets
Hit rate
54% (79/145)
ROI
+15%
Politics133 bets
Hit rate
55% (73/133)
ROI
+17%
Science57 bets
Hit rate
75% (43/57)
ROI
+17%
Geopolitics35 bets
Hit rate
54% (19/35)
ROI
-17%
Crypto22 bets
Hit rate
41% (9/22)
ROI
+5%
Other19 bets
Hit rate
58% (11/19)
ROI
-12%
Culture18 bets
Hit rate
78% (14/18)
ROI
+6%
Tech17 bets
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
ROI
-11%
Business9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
-28%
Economy7 bets
Hit rate
86% (6/7)
ROI
+44%

Track record

58% hit · 268/462

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	$2	45.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	No	$14	90.0¢	Won
Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?	Yes	$1	61.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	$1	42.0¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$1	64.3¢	Lost
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?	No	$1	91.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	$3	11.7¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	$1	74.8¢	Won
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Won
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$1	93.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	$8	75.5¢	Won
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	37.6¢	Won
Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	$2	67.0¢	Won
Packers vs. Lions	Packers	$2	40.0¢	Lost
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	$5	95.3¢	Won
Colts vs. Vikings	Vikings	$7	72.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	$1	45.0¢	Lost
FC Midtjylland vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 8.5	Under	$1	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 25?	No	$9	86.7¢	Won
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 21?	Yes	$10	95.0¢	Won
Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$1	66.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 25?	No	$10	98.1¢	Won
Will John Atoyebi win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	$1	93.0¢	Won
Will Sam Chandola win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	$1	92.0¢	Won
Will Terry Yung win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$1	50.0¢	Lost
Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$9	62.3¢	Won
Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$1	50.0¢	Lost
Will Kaden Mann win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	$1	92.0¢	Won
Will Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$3	63.0¢	Won
Will Valerie Morrison win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	$1	91.0¢	Won
Will Margareta Dovgal win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	$1	55.0¢	Lost
Will Ryan Peterson win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$1	50.0¢	Won
Will Oliver Wildfong win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	$1	94.0¢	Won
Will Gordon Zhang win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$1	65.0¢	Won
Will Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	$10	98.5¢	Won
Will Blair Visscher win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	$1	94.0¢	Won
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	$1	52.0¢	Lost
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	$1	79.0¢	Won
Will Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$1	84.0¢	Won
Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	$1	66.0¢	Won
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	$9	93.5¢	Won
Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	$5	94.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	$4	39.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	$3	61.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	$3	51.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	$4	77.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	$5	98.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	$3	62.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	$3	63.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	$8	52.3¢	Lost

Chiefs vs. SeahawksLost
Chiefs$2 @ 45.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?Won
No$14 @ 90.0¢
Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Won
Yes$1 @ 61.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 42.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 64.3¢
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Won
No$1 @ 91.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Lost
No$3 @ 11.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Won
Yes$1 @ 74.8¢
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Won
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$1 @ 93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?Won
Yes$8 @ 75.5¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 37.6¢
Broncos vs. CardinalsWon
Broncos$2 @ 67.0¢
Packers vs. LionsLost
Packers$2 @ 40.0¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Won
FC Barcelona$5 @ 95.3¢
Colts vs. VikingsWon
Vikings$7 @ 72.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Lost
No$1 @ 45.0¢
FC Midtjylland vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 8.5Won
Under$1 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 25?Won
No$9 @ 86.7¢
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 21?Won
Yes$10 @ 95.0¢
Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 66.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 25?Won
No$10 @ 98.1¢
Will John Atoyebi win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
No$1 @ 93.0¢
Will Sam Chandola win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
No$1 @ 92.0¢
Will Terry Yung win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 50.0¢
Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
Yes$9 @ 62.3¢
Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 50.0¢
Will Kaden Mann win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
No$1 @ 92.0¢
Will Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
Yes$3 @ 63.0¢
Will Valerie Morrison win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
No$1 @ 91.0¢
Will Margareta Dovgal win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Lost
No$1 @ 55.0¢
Will Ryan Peterson win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
Yes$1 @ 50.0¢
Will Oliver Wildfong win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
No$1 @ 94.0¢
Will Gordon Zhang win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
Yes$1 @ 65.0¢
Will Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Won
No$10 @ 98.5¢
Will Blair Visscher win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
No$1 @ 94.0¢
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 52.0¢
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Won
Yes$1 @ 79.0¢
Will Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
Yes$1 @ 84.0¢
Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Won
Yes$1 @ 66.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 93.5¢
Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election?Won
Yes$5 @ 94.8¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Won
No$4 @ 39.0¢
Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Won
No$3 @ 61.0¢
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Won
No$3 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Won
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Won
Yes$5 @ 98.0¢
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Lost
No$3 @ 62.0¢
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Won
Yes$3 @ 63.5¢
Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Lost
No$8 @ 52.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$401	92.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$100	94.0¢
Will CSD Suchitepéquez win on 2026-10-25?	Sports	Yes	$100	93.0¢
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	T1	$100	89.0¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Sports	Team Yandex	$100	79.0¢
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Sports	BetBoom Team	$100	78.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Sports	MOUZ	$100	74.0¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Sports	Aurora Gaming	$100	72.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	Bilibili Gaming	$100	71.0¢
LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	Team Secret Whales	$100	66.0¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Sports	PARIVISION	$100	57.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	No	$14	95.5¢
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Politics	Yes	$14	94.4¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Politics	No	$14	94.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$14	93.7¢
Will Rory Nisan win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?	Politics	No	$14	92.0¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	Other	No	$14	92.0¢
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?	Geopolitics	Yes	$14	92.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Crypto	No	$14	90.0¢
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by October 31?	Other	No	$13	86.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in October?	Business	No	$13	85.7¢
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Geopolitics	Yes	$13	85.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$12	81.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Politics	Yes	$12	72.8¢
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	Culture	No	$12	78.7¢
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	Geopolitics	No	$11	76.0¢
Counter-Strike: Voca vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - CCT North America Cup #1 Playoffs	Sports	LAG Gaming	$10	31.9¢
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M?	Culture	No	$10	98.7¢
Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Culture	No	$10	98.6¢
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?	Politics	No	$10	98.3¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$401 @ 92.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$100 @ 94.0¢
Will CSD Suchitepéquez win on 2026-10-25?Sports
Yes$100 @ 93.0¢
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
T1$100 @ 89.0¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group ASports
Team Yandex$100 @ 79.0¢
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group BSports
BetBoom Team$100 @ 78.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageSports
MOUZ$100 @ 74.0¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageSports
Aurora Gaming$100 @ 72.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
Bilibili Gaming$100 @ 71.0¢
LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group StageSports
Team Secret Whales$100 @ 66.0¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group BSports
PARIVISION$100 @ 57.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
No$14 @ 95.5¢
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Politics
Yes$14 @ 94.4¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Politics
No$14 @ 94.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$14 @ 93.7¢
Will Rory Nisan win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Politics
No$14 @ 92.0¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Other
No$14 @ 92.0¢
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?Geopolitics
Yes$14 @ 92.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?Crypto
No$14 @ 90.0¢
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by October 31?Other
No$13 @ 86.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in October?Business
No$13 @ 85.7¢
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?Geopolitics
Yes$13 @ 85.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?Politics
Yes$12 @ 81.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Politics
Yes$12 @ 72.8¢
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?Culture
No$12 @ 78.7¢
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?Geopolitics
No$11 @ 76.0¢
Counter-Strike: Voca vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - CCT North America Cup #1 PlayoffsSports
LAG Gaming$10 @ 31.9¢
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M?Culture
No$10 @ 98.7¢
Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture
No$10 @ 98.6¢
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics
No$10 @ 98.3¢