← Smart money
0xa189…79fe
ProfitableEdge
+19.9pp
ROI
+67%
Win rate
49% @ 29.2¢
Brier
0.272
Resolved
57
Avg size
$13
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 40% (4/10) | +64% | 10 |
| Other | 33% (2/6) | +179% | 6 |
| Sports | 100% (2/2) | +127% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +21% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +338% | 1 |
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (4/10)
- ROI
- +64%
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- +179%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +127%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +21%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +338%
Track record
50% hit · 10/20- Yes$97 @ 20.2¢
- No$43 @ 85.6¢
- No$1 @ 7.8¢
- Yes$95 @ 24.8¢
- No$1 @ 0.9¢
- No$14 @ 22.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$58 @ 56.5¢
- Yes$7 @ 16.3¢
- Yes$11 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 36.6¢
- No$124 @ 39.4¢
- Yes$100 @ 36.1¢
- No$1 @ 5.0¢
- No$9 @ 24.6¢
- Yes$83 @ 82.5¢
- Yes$40 @ 10.1¢
- No$6 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$47 @ 30.3¢
- No$2 @ 8.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Burger" in October? | Politics | No | $33 | 66.0¢ |
| Will Gabriel Galípolo be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance? | Politics | No | $27 | 91.0¢ |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff? | Politics | No | $17 | 87.0¢ |
| Will Celso Amorim be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense? | Politics | No | $13 | 84.0¢ |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $12 | 44.8¢ |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance? | Politics | No | $6 | 49.0¢ |
- No$33 @ 66.0¢
- No$27 @ 91.0¢
- No$17 @ 87.0¢
- No$13 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 44.8¢
- No$6 @ 49.0¢