← Smart money
0xa15e…b828
ProfitableEdge
+15.6pp
ROI
+38%
Win rate
45% @ 29.4¢
Brier
0.256
Resolved
625
Avg size
$62
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 59% (16/27) | +61% | 27 |
| Other | 30% (7/23) | +76% | 23 |
| Politics | 29% (4/14) | -32% | 14 |
- Sports27 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (16/27)
- ROI
- +61%
- Other23 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (7/23)
- ROI
- +76%
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (4/14)
- ROI
- -32%
Track record
42% hit · 27/64- Yes$559 @ 97.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
- No$202 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 82.0¢
- No$2.8k @ 40.6¢
- No$700 @ 20.9¢
- Yes$203 @ 58.0¢
- No$135 @ 19.1¢
- No$300 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$95 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 34.8¢
- No$697 @ 11.7¢
- Yes$319 @ 41.1¢
- No$1.4k @ 57.3¢
- Yes$449 @ 62.0¢
- No$580 @ 26.4¢
- No$603 @ 75.8¢
- Yes$56 @ 20.1¢
- No$5.1k @ 64.9¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 30.2¢
- No$499 @ 84.5¢
- No$279 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$307 @ 48.7¢
- No$884 @ 43.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 38.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 11.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 88.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 36.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 11.9¢
- No$241 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 4.2¢
- No$422 @ 40.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$744 @ 7.4¢
- No$31 @ 14.8¢
- Yes$200 @ 75.5¢
- No$58 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 29.7¢
- Under$624 @ 62.8¢
- Yes$110 @ 14.0¢
- Cavaliers$1.9k @ 50.0¢
- Celtics$1.0k @ 57.0¢
- No$27 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 67.4¢
- Yes$102 @ 26.0¢
- No$398 @ 86.4¢
- Yes$417 @ 26.5¢
- Yes$119 @ 24.5¢
- Yes$44 @ 88.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $4.2k | 36.1¢ |
| Will Coritiba FBC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw? | Sports | Yes | $559 | 97.5¢ |
| Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-18? | Sports | No | $492 | 52.4¢ |
- Yes$4.2k @ 36.1¢
- Yes$559 @ 97.5¢
- No$492 @ 52.4¢