0xa0b9…6048

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa0b9c52dcacc522b3e73b7756c44c9581d566048
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+3.3pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

60% @ 56.5¢

Brier

0.163

Resolved

2032

Avg size

$32

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	53% (322/604)	+0%	604
Politics	69% (64/93)	+14%	93
Geopolitics	77% (27/35)	+29%	35
Sports	67% (2/3)	+46%	3
Crypto	33% (1/3)	-49%	3
Economy	100% (1/1)	+23%	1

Other604 bets
Hit rate
53% (322/604)
ROI
+0%
Politics93 bets
Hit rate
69% (64/93)
ROI
+14%
Geopolitics35 bets
Hit rate
77% (27/35)
ROI
+29%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+46%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-49%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%

Track record

56% hit · 417/739

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?	No	$377	75.4¢	Won
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?	No	$25	1.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	Yes	$20	53.5¢	Won
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?	No	$34	68.0¢	Won
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?	Yes	$100	70.0¢	Won
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	No	$10	25.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	Yes	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?	No	$66	59.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?	No	$63	63.0¢	Won
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?	Yes	$125	84.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	$18	18.0¢	Won
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?	Yes	$10	5.8¢	Lost
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?	Yes	$4	0.4¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?	No	$108	81.7¢	Won
Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union?	Yes	$15	60.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31?	No	$28	81.0¢	Won
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$25	82.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	No	$1.5k	79.1¢	Won
No airdrop in 2025?	Yes	$16	3.1¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?	No	$80	58.0¢	Lost
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?	No	$87	87.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$151	56.0¢	Won
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$15	29.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$139	77.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?	No	$30	50.0¢	Won
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$31	78.6¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	No	$42	83.0¢	Won
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by March 31?	Yes	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$82	82.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?	No	$36	72.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?	No	$200	27.7¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?	No	$114	71.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?	No	$61	61.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$17	17.4¢	Lost
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?	No	$22	89.0¢	Won
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?	Yes	$12	9.1¢	Lost
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	$63	63.0¢	Won
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	$6	6.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$44	88.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?	No	$20	33.0¢	Lost
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?	Yes	$25	18.0¢	Lost
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	No	$16	17.3¢	Lost
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	Yes	$23	86.0¢	Won
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$9	19.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?	Yes	$52	61.5¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	No	$205	81.8¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	No	$145	80.8¢	Won
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	No	$7	22.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?	No	$116	72.9¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$132	48.3¢	Won

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Won
No$377 @ 75.4¢
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Lost
No$25 @ 1.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Won
Yes$20 @ 53.5¢
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Won
No$34 @ 68.0¢
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?Won
Yes$100 @ 70.0¢
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?Lost
No$10 @ 25.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Lost
No$66 @ 59.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?Won
No$63 @ 63.0¢
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Won
Yes$125 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?Won
Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.8¢
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?Won
No$108 @ 81.7¢
Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union?Won
Yes$15 @ 60.0¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31?Won
No$28 @ 81.0¢
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
No$25 @ 82.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Won
No$1.5k @ 79.1¢
No airdrop in 2025?Lost
Yes$16 @ 3.1¢
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?Lost
No$80 @ 58.0¢
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Won
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
No$151 @ 56.0¢
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$15 @ 29.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$139 @ 77.0¢
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?Won
No$30 @ 50.0¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$31 @ 78.6¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Won
No$42 @ 83.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by March 31?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$82 @ 82.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Won
No$36 @ 72.0¢
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?Won
No$200 @ 27.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Won
No$114 @ 71.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?Won
No$61 @ 61.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$17 @ 17.4¢
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?Won
No$22 @ 89.0¢
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?Lost
Yes$12 @ 9.1¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Won
No$63 @ 63.0¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Lost
No$20 @ 33.0¢
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Lost
Yes$25 @ 18.0¢
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Lost
No$16 @ 17.3¢
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Won
Yes$23 @ 86.0¢
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
Yes$9 @ 19.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Won
Yes$52 @ 61.5¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Lost
No$205 @ 81.8¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Won
No$145 @ 80.8¢
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?Lost
No$7 @ 22.0¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Won
No$116 @ 72.9¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Won
No$132 @ 48.3¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$181	72.2¢
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$133	74.0¢
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$120	66.7¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$107	35.7¢
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$106	59.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$96	19.2¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Politics	No	$81	81.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	No	$65	72.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$41	82.0¢
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$40	50.0¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$39	49.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$37	46.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Politics	No	$30	76.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$30	60.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$30	37.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$18	18.0¢
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$3	44.0¢

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$181 @ 72.2¢
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Geopolitics
No$133 @ 74.0¢
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Geopolitics
No$120 @ 66.7¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$107 @ 35.7¢
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Geopolitics
No$106 @ 59.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$96 @ 19.2¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Politics
No$81 @ 81.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
No$65 @ 72.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$41 @ 82.0¢
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$40 @ 50.0¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$39 @ 49.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Geopolitics
No$37 @ 46.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
No$30 @ 76.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$30 @ 60.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Geopolitics
No$30 @ 37.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?Geopolitics
No$3 @ 44.0¢