0xa037…2fb3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa037d9ae501a6830a8f37610e6bac4b721672fb3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.2pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

68% @ 60.7¢

Brier

0.125

Resolved

240

Avg size

$36

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	73% (29/40)	+9%	40
Politics	67% (4/6)	+5%	6
Sports	20% (1/5)	+9%	5
Business	75% (3/4)	+21%	4
Economy	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+14%	1

Other40 bets
Hit rate
73% (29/40)
ROI
+9%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+5%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
+9%
Business4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+21%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%

Track record

66% hit · 38/58

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	$40	40.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	$141	70.5¢	Won
Will Thibaut Courtois win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9	9.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	Yes	$467	35.7¢	Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$65	65.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	$282	85.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?	No	$176	88.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?	Yes	$96	74.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$89	88.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	$84	84.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?	No	$80	80.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?	No	$335	67.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	No	$176	88.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	6.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?	No	$169	84.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	$51	60.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	$133	58.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	Yes	$21	6.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?	No	$157	78.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	$564	80.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$177	88.4¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?	No	$62	62.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	Yes	$468	77.9¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September?	No	$154	76.5¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?	No	$138	69.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	$153	76.5¢	Won
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	$5	47.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?	Yes	$11	7.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	$45	75.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	No	$256	85.2¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$145	48.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$25	50.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$277	69.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	$501	83.3¢	Won
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	$47	11.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	Yes	$158	52.3¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$38	37.6¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$25	50.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	$129	64.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$329	76.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?	Yes	$30	15.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$10	45.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	$710	71.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	$404	44.7¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	$16	13.2¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	Yes	$102	67.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	Yes	$35	35.0¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	$202	75.1¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?	No	$88	88.0¢	Won

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Won
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Won
Yes$141 @ 70.5¢
Will Thibaut Courtois win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Lost
Yes$467 @ 35.7¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Won
Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Won
No$282 @ 85.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Won
No$176 @ 88.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Lost
Yes$96 @ 74.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
No$89 @ 88.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Won
No$84 @ 84.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?Won
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?Won
No$335 @ 67.0¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Won
No$176 @ 88.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$20 @ 6.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Won
No$169 @ 84.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Won
No$51 @ 60.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Won
No$133 @ 58.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Won
Yes$21 @ 6.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Won
No$157 @ 78.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Won
No$564 @ 80.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$177 @ 88.4¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?Lost
No$62 @ 62.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Won
Yes$468 @ 77.9¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September?Won
No$154 @ 76.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?Won
No$138 @ 69.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Won
No$153 @ 76.5¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Lost
No$5 @ 47.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?Won
Yes$11 @ 7.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Won
No$45 @ 75.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Won
No$256 @ 85.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$145 @ 48.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$25 @ 50.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$277 @ 69.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Won
No$501 @ 83.3¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Lost
Yes$47 @ 11.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Lost
Yes$158 @ 52.3¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$38 @ 37.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 50.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Lost
Yes$129 @ 64.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$329 @ 76.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Lost
Yes$30 @ 15.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Won
Yes$10 @ 45.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Won
No$710 @ 71.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Lost
Yes$404 @ 44.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Lost
No$16 @ 13.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?Won
Yes$102 @ 67.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Lost
Yes$35 @ 35.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?Won
No$202 @ 75.1¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?Won
No$88 @ 88.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Other	No	$163	81.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Other	Yes	$63	63.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Other	Yes	$57	19.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	No	$54	86.4¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$41	41.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$28	30.3¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$24	48.6¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$15	15.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$3	2.7¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Other
No$163 @ 81.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Other
Yes$63 @ 63.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Other
Yes$57 @ 19.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
No$54 @ 86.4¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$41 @ 41.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$28 @ 30.3¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$24 @ 48.6¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$3 @ 2.7¢