← Smart money
0x9f2f…2ca8
SharpEdge
+13.7pp
ROI
+14%
Win rate
64% @ 49.8¢
Brier
0.139
Resolved
5591
Avg size
$630
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 59% (19/32) | +12% | 32 |
| Politics | 67% (4/6) | -25% | 6 |
| Sports | 67% (2/3) | +29% | 3 |
- Other32 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (19/32)
- ROI
- +12%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- -25%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +29%
Track record
61% hit · 25/41- Ramazan Temirov$7.0k @ 51.0¢
- Yes$7.5k @ 74.0¢
- Chiefs$746.1k @ 68.2¢
- Yes$92.2k @ 26.5¢
- No$814 @ 55.0¢
- Patriots$66.2k @ 38.0¢
- Seahawks$3.9k @ 62.0¢
- Cowboys$27.3k @ 61.0¢
- Yes$7.4k @ 74.0¢
- Yes$6.0k @ 1.0¢
- Mercer$0 @ 0.5¢
- Patriots$29.7k @ 67.0¢
- Giants vs. RamsLostGiants$43.3k @ 26.0¢
- Rams$572.3k @ 72.3¢
- Yes$14.9k @ 74.5¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 1.7¢
- Yes$834 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$211.7k @ 72.9¢
- Mauricio Ruffy$44.2k @ 26.6¢
- Lions vs. BillsLostLions$270.0k @ 30.0¢
- Yes$13.5k @ 53.0¢
- KC$51.0k @ 51.0¢
- Yes$16.0k @ 79.7¢
- FC Bayern München$3.3k @ 87.0¢
- 49ers$378.1k @ 89.0¢
- Coastal Carolina$22.9k @ 34.4¢
- No$13.5k @ 54.0¢
- Yes$44.6k @ 12.2¢
- Yes$187.2k @ 85.1¢
- Magomed Zaynukov$28.7k @ 71.5¢
- Valter Walker$34.5k @ 64.0¢
- Casey ONeill$16.9k @ 66.0¢
- No$183 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$42.5k @ 84.7¢
- Panthers$68.7k @ 55.0¢
- Broncos$110.7k @ 56.9¢
- Ravens$19.8k @ 79.0¢
- Chiefs$196.0k @ 56.0¢
- Joshua Van$107.4k @ 58.8¢
- Ravens$14.3k @ 57.0¢
- Yes$572 @ 73.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $60.8k | 43.5¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $10.2k | 25.4¢ |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $7.4k | 9.9¢ |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | No | $3.0k | 90.9¢ |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $23 | 0.4¢ |
- Yes$60.8k @ 43.5¢
- Yes$10.2k @ 25.4¢
- Yes$7.4k @ 9.9¢
- No$3.0k @ 90.9¢
- Yes$23 @ 0.4¢