0x9e98…dade

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9e98bffe91eb110ee744939cc207ba31c920dade
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.1pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

98% @ 78.4¢

Brier

0.044

Resolved

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	68% (15/22)	-21%	22
Politics	50% (5/10)	-5%	10
Crypto	100% (8/8)	+25%	8
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+16%	1

Other22 bets
Hit rate
68% (15/22)
ROI
-21%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
-5%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
100% (8/8)
ROI
+25%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+16%

Track record

71% hit · 29/41

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10?	No	$10	76.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?	No	$10	68.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?	No	$10	81.8¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 13?	No	$4	78.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9?	No	$6	88.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	No	$2	55.9¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?	No	$6	88.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 5?	No	$4	90.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?	No	$10	77.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?	No	$12	87.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	No	$2	87.8¢	Won
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians	Pittsburgh Pirates	$8	99.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	No	$2	62.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 7?	No	$2	27.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	No	$2	68.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $60 June 22-28?	No	$2	99.5¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$5	38.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	49.0¢	Won
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	No	$4	83.6¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$20	87.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	$10	8.9¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$5	38.0¢	Won
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$5	83.9¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$6	23.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$20	24.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	$4	1.4¢	Lost
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$4	60.4¢	Won
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	$2	76.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$2	54.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	$5	86.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$4	23.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$4	1.5¢	Lost
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	$10	78.0¢	Won
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	$5	21.0¢	Lost
Will FK Zenit win on 2026-04-22?	No	$2	57.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	43.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	$2	36.7¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$5	12.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	$2	66.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	$2	86.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?	Yes	$4	4.7¢	Lost

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10?Won
No$10 @ 76.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?Won
No$10 @ 68.0¢
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?Won
No$10 @ 81.8¢
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 13?Won
No$4 @ 78.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9?Won
No$6 @ 88.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?Won
No$2 @ 55.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?Won
No$6 @ 88.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 5?Won
No$4 @ 90.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?Won
No$10 @ 77.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Won
No$12 @ 87.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Won
No$2 @ 87.8¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland GuardiansWon
Pittsburgh Pirates$8 @ 99.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?Won
No$2 @ 62.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 7?Lost
No$2 @ 27.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?Won
No$2 @ 68.0¢
Will Solana dip to $60 June 22-28?Won
No$2 @ 99.5¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Won
Yes$5 @ 38.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 49.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?Won
No$4 @ 83.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 87.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 38.0¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 83.9¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
No$6 @ 23.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 24.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.4¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 60.4¢
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Won
Yes$2 @ 76.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$2 @ 54.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Won
No$5 @ 86.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$4 @ 23.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.5¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Won
No$10 @ 78.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 21.0¢
Will FK Zenit win on 2026-04-22?Won
No$2 @ 57.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 43.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Won
No$2 @ 36.7¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 12.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Won
No$2 @ 66.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?Won
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$16	60.5¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$16	33.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$14	61.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?	—	No	$10	93.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?	—	No	$10	86.0¢
Will Solana reach $90 in August?	—	No	$10	89.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	—	No	$7	83.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$4	39.4¢
Will Solana reach $100 in August?	—	No	$3	97.5¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	63.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$2	67.0¢
Will Solana reach $150 in August?	—	No	$2	99.8¢
Will Solana reach $130 in August?	—	No	$2	99.6¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2	6.7¢

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$16 @ 60.5¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
Yes$16 @ 33.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$14 @ 61.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?—
No$10 @ 93.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?—
No$10 @ 86.0¢
Will Solana reach $90 in August?—
No$10 @ 89.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?—
No$7 @ 83.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$4 @ 39.4¢
Will Solana reach $100 in August?—
No$3 @ 97.5¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 63.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$2 @ 67.0¢
Will Solana reach $150 in August?—
No$2 @ 99.8¢
Will Solana reach $130 in August?—
No$2 @ 99.6¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2 @ 6.7¢