0x9dfe…b3dd

Specialization by sphere

• Other500 bets

  Hit rate

  59% (294/500)

  ROI

  +12%

• Politics41 bets

  Hit rate

  68% (28/41)

  ROI

  +10%

• Geopolitics21 bets

  Hit rate

  86% (18/21)

  ROI

  +47%

• Crypto9 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (6/9)

  ROI

  +133%

• Tech7 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (7/7)

  ROI

  +69%

• Sports5 bets

  Hit rate

  40% (2/5)

  ROI

  +22%

• Will Trump say "Transgender" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Won
  No$46 @ 58.1¢
• Will Trump say "Transgender" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Lost
  Yes$105 @ 38.0¢
• Will Trump's UN speech be between 35 and 40 minutes?Lost
  Yes$97 @ 31.0¢
• Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode?Lost
  No$137 @ 74.0¢
• Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 3.6¢
• Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Lost
  No$81 @ 81.0¢
• Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?Won
  No$451 @ 61.4¢
• Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Won
  No$1.0k @ 79.0¢
• Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Lost
  Yes$58 @ 23.2¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Won
  No$3.5k @ 50.0¢
• Epstein client list released in 2025?Won
  No$857 @ 75.6¢
• Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?Lost
  No$77 @ 43.0¢
• No airdrop in 2025?Lost
  Yes$41 @ 14.0¢
• Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
  No$3 @ 23.0¢
• Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
  Yes$1.3k @ 62.4¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 41.9¢
• Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Won
  No$234 @ 76.0¢
• US government shutdown by October 1?Won
  Yes$2.1k @ 80.6¢
• Will Trump say "Women's Sports" or "Transgender" during events with Polish president on September 3?Lost
  No$38 @ 76.0¢
• Over $3M committed to the Bitway public sale?Lost
  Yes$231 @ 26.0¢
• Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 50.0¢
• Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?Won
  No$480 @ 48.1¢
• Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?Won
  No$181 @ 63.0¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
  No$8.3k @ 50.4¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Lost
  Yes$2.3k @ 45.8¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5.7k @ 29.3¢
• Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Lost
  No$186 @ 20.4¢
• Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Won
  Yes$557 @ 52.1¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$456 @ 88.8¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Won
  No$8.6k @ 49.4¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Lost
  Yes$4.5k @ 73.9¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Lost
  Yes$365 @ 73.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
  No$1.1k @ 56.0¢
• Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Lost
  No$4.9k @ 47.3¢
• Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
  Yes$4.1k @ 35.2¢
• Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Won
  No$890 @ 89.0¢
• Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Won
  Yes$440 @ 67.1¢
• Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?Lost
  No$160 @ 16.0¢
• Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
  Yes$2.1k @ 38.0¢
• Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Won
  No$13 @ 86.0¢
• Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Lost
  Yes$201 @ 23.8¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?Won
  No$850 @ 85.0¢
• US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Lost
  No$800 @ 80.0¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Won
  Yes$6.0k @ 48.8¢
• Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 50%?Won
  No$169 @ 50.6¢
• Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
  No$1.7k @ 36.9¢
• Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
  Yes$3.9k @ 51.9¢
• Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Lost
  Yes$749 @ 38.8¢
• Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Won
  No$968 @ 47.5¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$317 @ 21.1¢

Current positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$15.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  No$15.0k @ 50.0¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
  No$12.0k @ 91.0¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$8.5k @ 85.8¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$6.8k @ 85.5¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  No$6.8k @ 84.9¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  No$6.1k @ 73.5¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$5.9k @ 68.2¢
• Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics
  No$2.6k @ 87.0¢
• Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$2.3k @ 75.4¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.9k @ 38.0¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$1.2k @ 43.0¢
• Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$1.2k @ 67.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$317 @ 86.0¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$32 @ 46.0¢