0x9be5…985e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9be5b67ba060e4c34c7d21620bce2d31ef75985e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.1pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

80% @ 74.4¢

Brier

0.115

Resolved

718

Avg size

$20

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	77% (114/148)	+7%	148
Politics	77% (24/31)	+12%	31
Business	100% (18/18)	+15%	18
Economy	59% (10/17)	+12%	17
Geopolitics	85% (11/13)	+12%	13
Tech	100% (2/2)	+20%	2
Science	100% (1/1)	+28%	1

Other148 bets
Hit rate
77% (114/148)
ROI
+7%
Politics31 bets
Hit rate
77% (24/31)
ROI
+12%
Business18 bets
Hit rate
100% (18/18)
ROI
+15%
Economy17 bets
Hit rate
59% (10/17)
ROI
+12%
Geopolitics13 bets
Hit rate
85% (11/13)
ROI
+12%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+20%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+28%

Track record

78% hit · 180/230

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	90.0¢	Won
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	89.0¢	Won
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	91.0¢	Won
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	90.0¢	Won
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$4	84.7¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	93.0¢	Won
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$4	74.0¢	Won
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	90.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$10	96.0¢	Won
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	85.0¢	Won
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$9	90.0¢	Won
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $690 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$7	73.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	No	$9	91.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	$36	90.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	No	$8	84.0¢	Won
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $164 in September?	No	$21	86.0¢	Won
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in September?	No	$52	86.7¢	Won
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $162 in September?	No	$18	88.5¢	Won
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in September?	No	$18	90.8¢	Won
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $216 in September?	No	$19	94.0¢	Won
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	$15	74.0¢	Won
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?	Yes	$13	63.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	No	$32	87.5¢	Lost
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	$37	37.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	$57	81.9¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$10	67.0¢	Lost
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	No	$7	72.0¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?	No	$6	64.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	No	$16	80.0¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$40	89.7¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$132	87.9¢	Won
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	$39	78.2¢	Won
Will Tesla reach $548 in January?	No	$8	89.0¢	Won
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?	Yes	$1	78.0¢	Won
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	No	$7	65.0¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	$2	71.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$38	75.6¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$37	61.7¢	Lost
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	$0	7.0¢	Lost
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$8	83.0¢	Won
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?	No	$45	89.0¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	$41	82.7¢	Won
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	$44	88.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$16	46.0¢	Lost
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	$7	37.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $160 before 2026??	No	$8	81.0¢	Won
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	$81	81.0¢	Won
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	$18	60.3¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	$4	81.0¢	Won
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	Yes	$17	41.5¢	Lost

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$9 @ 89.0¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$9 @ 91.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$4 @ 84.7¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$9 @ 93.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$4 @ 74.0¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$10 @ 96.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$9 @ 85.0¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $690 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$7 @ 73.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?Won
No$9 @ 91.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Won
No$36 @ 90.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?Won
No$8 @ 84.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $164 in September?Won
No$21 @ 86.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in September?Won
No$52 @ 86.7¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $162 in September?Won
No$18 @ 88.5¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in September?Won
No$18 @ 90.8¢
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $216 in September?Won
No$19 @ 94.0¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?Won
No$15 @ 74.0¢
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?Lost
Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Lost
No$32 @ 87.5¢
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?Lost
Yes$37 @ 37.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Won
Yes$57 @ 81.9¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 67.0¢
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Won
No$7 @ 72.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?Won
No$6 @ 64.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?Won
No$16 @ 80.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
No$40 @ 89.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$132 @ 87.9¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Won
No$39 @ 78.2¢
Will Tesla reach $548 in January?Won
No$8 @ 89.0¢
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Won
Yes$1 @ 78.0¢
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Lost
No$7 @ 65.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Lost
No$2 @ 71.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$38 @ 75.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$37 @ 61.7¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Lost
No$0 @ 7.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Won
No$45 @ 89.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Won
Yes$41 @ 82.7¢
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?Won
Yes$44 @ 88.0¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
No$16 @ 46.0¢
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?Lost
Yes$7 @ 37.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $160 before 2026??Won
No$8 @ 81.0¢
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Won
No$81 @ 81.0¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$18 @ 60.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?Won
Yes$4 @ 81.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Lost
Yes$17 @ 41.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$900	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$900	50.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$285	88.9¢
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Politics	Yes	$172	67.5¢
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Politics	No	$143	66.9¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$92	92.0¢
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$86	71.7¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in October?	Business	No	$51	91.9¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $384 in October?	Business	No	$46	91.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $900 in October?	Business	No	$45	90.0¢
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	Other	No	$39	77.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$34	84.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Other	No	$34	84.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$23	76.0¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	Politics	No	$18	89.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	Other	No	$18	89.0¢
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Politics	No	$16	45.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$15	73.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $376 in October?	Business	No	$13	87.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	Economy	No	$13	74.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$10	52.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of September 28 2026?	Business	No	$10	96.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of September 28 2026?	Business	No	$9	93.0¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 28 2026?	Business	No	$9	91.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Other	No	$9	91.0¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 28 2026?	Business	No	$9	90.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?	Business	No	$9	90.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026?	Business	No	$9	90.0¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of September 28 2026?	Business	No	$9	90.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?	Business	No	$9	90.0¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$900 @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$900 @ 50.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$285 @ 88.9¢
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Politics
Yes$172 @ 67.5¢
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics
No$143 @ 66.9¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?Economy
Yes$92 @ 92.0¢
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$86 @ 71.7¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in October?Business
No$51 @ 91.9¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $384 in October?Business
No$46 @ 91.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $900 in October?Business
No$45 @ 90.0¢
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?Other
No$39 @ 77.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$34 @ 84.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Other
No$34 @ 84.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$23 @ 76.0¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Politics
No$18 @ 89.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?Other
No$18 @ 89.0¢
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics
No$16 @ 45.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech
No$15 @ 73.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $376 in October?Business
No$13 @ 87.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Economy
No$13 @ 74.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of September 28 2026?Business
No$10 @ 96.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of September 28 2026?Business
No$9 @ 93.0¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 28 2026?Business
No$9 @ 91.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Other
No$9 @ 91.0¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 28 2026?Business
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?Business
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026?Business
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of September 28 2026?Business
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?Business
No$9 @ 90.0¢