← Smart money
0x9ad0…bf3d
ProfitableEdge
+23.4pp
ROI
+96%
Win rate
45% @ 21.8¢
Brier
0.261
Resolved
1002
Avg size
$18
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 43% (23/53) | +91% | 53 |
| Culture | 45% (14/31) | -13% | 31 |
| Crypto | 45% (5/11) | -28% | 11 |
| Geopolitics | 14% (1/7) | -82% | 7 |
| Tech | 17% (1/6) | -86% | 6 |
| Sports | 0% (0/6) | -100% | 6 |
| Other | 20% (1/5) | -78% | 5 |
- Politics53 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (23/53)
- ROI
- +91%
- Culture31 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (14/31)
- ROI
- -13%
- Crypto11 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (5/11)
- ROI
- -28%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (1/7)
- ROI
- -82%
- Tech6 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (1/6)
- ROI
- -86%
- Sports6 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/6)
- ROI
- -100%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -78%
Track record
38% hit · 45/119- Yes$8 @ 8.4¢
- Over$117 @ 67.5¢
- Over$38 @ 16.0¢
- Over$38 @ 25.7¢
- Over$24 @ 18.7¢
- Under$320 @ 95.1¢
- Over$12 @ 3.9¢
- Over$65 @ 99.9¢
- Under$2 @ 2.7¢
- Over$20 @ 11.1¢
- Under$110 @ 94.7¢
- Over$5 @ 12.0¢
- Over$12 @ 12.3¢
- Under$72 @ 96.0¢
- Over$62 @ 70.7¢
- Over$8 @ 5.1¢
- Under$142 @ 96.5¢
- Over$24 @ 8.0¢
- Under$137 @ 98.3¢
- Over$9 @ 11.5¢
- Under$274 @ 96.2¢
- Over$10 @ 6.8¢
- Under$119 @ 97.2¢
- Over$272 @ 65.9¢
- Under$19 @ 5.3¢
- Over$17 @ 17.3¢
- Under$96 @ 96.0¢
- Over$5 @ 10.7¢
- Under$101 @ 89.1¢
- Yes$17 @ 2.1¢
- No$219 @ 92.8¢
- Yes$50 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$12 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$388 @ 18.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
- No$246 @ 98.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- No$45 @ 96.5¢
- Yes$47 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$123 @ 1.1¢
- No$37 @ 57.8¢
- No$203 @ 99.1¢
- Yes$425 @ 5.3¢
- No$35 @ 86.6¢
- Yes$39 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$283 @ 11.2¢
- No$45 @ 69.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 9.7¢
- No$59 @ 97.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$6.2k @ 90.2¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 59.1¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 37.6¢
- No$1.7k @ 98.3¢
- No$1.5k @ 85.3¢
- No$1.5k @ 94.9¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 28.9¢
- No$1.3k @ 89.7¢
- No$1.2k @ 98.4¢
- No$1.2k @ 96.8¢
- No$1.1k @ 84.2¢
- No$1.1k @ 71.7¢
- No$1.0k @ 86.4¢
- No$1.0k @ 86.9¢
- Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$963 @ 91.1¢
- No$905 @ 69.4¢
- No$872 @ 90.4¢
- No$844 @ 62.5¢
- Yes$808 @ 47.6¢
- No$805 @ 96.8¢
- Yes$801 @ 26.7¢
- Yes$779 @ 35.5¢
- No$775 @ 83.3¢
- Yes$752 @ 17.3¢
- No$750 @ 70.8¢
- No$743 @ 83.9¢
- Yes$742 @ 17.0¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$731 @ 79.4¢
- No$717 @ 82.9¢
- No$708 @ 83.3¢