0x97af…9bc6

Specialization by sphere

• Other183 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (103/183)

  ROI

  +10%

• Politics63 bets

  Hit rate

  60% (38/63)

  ROI

  -3%

• Sports28 bets

  Hit rate

  36% (10/28)

  ROI

  +55%

• Geopolitics10 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (5/10)

  ROI

  -10%

• Crypto6 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (4/6)

  ROI

  +56%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +76%

• Economy2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -31%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +36%

• Bengals vs. VikingsLost
  Bengals$5 @ 39.0¢
• Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?Won
  Yes$6 @ 84.0¢
• Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5Lost
  Over$50 @ 49.0¢
• Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Lost
  Yes$400 @ 47.4¢
• Will Base launch a token in 2025?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
• Spread: GB (-7.5)Lost
  GB$5 @ 48.0¢
• Seahawks vs. FalconsLost
  Falcons$168 @ 24.0¢
• Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Won
  Yes$988 @ 50.4¢
• Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
  Yes$584 @ 20.6¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$22.7k @ 85.9¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$9.8k @ 12.3¢
• Falcons vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5Won
  Under$5 @ 54.0¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
  No$101 @ 58.2¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$4.8k @ 79.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.0k @ 22.3¢
• Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Won
  Over$59 @ 58.0¢
• Kansas State vs. BaylorWon
  Baylor$5 @ 64.0¢
• Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Lost
  No$414 @ 27.6¢
• Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
  Yes$202 @ 60.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Won
  Yes$446 @ 89.1¢
• US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Lost
  Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$105 @ 15.0¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
  No$800 @ 35.5¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
  Yes$1.7k @ 62.4¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Lost
  Yes$1.7k @ 28.3¢
• Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$3.8k @ 5.3¢
• Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?Won
  No$5.2k @ 79.9¢
• Utah vs. SharksWon
  Sharks$272 @ 39.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Won
  Yes$33 @ 66.7¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$2.0k @ 65.3¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$254 @ 53.7¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$58.8k @ 85.6¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$11.1k @ 10.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$92 @ 18.4¢
• Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Lost
  No$31 @ 37.0¢
• Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Lost
  Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
• Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Won
  Yes$22 @ 86.1¢
• Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Won
  Over$52 @ 58.0¢
• Solana above $215 on January 10?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 56.0¢
• North Texas vs. Texas StateWon
  Texas State$5 @ 81.0¢
• Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?Lost
  Yes$1.1k @ 13.2¢
• Celtics vs. ThunderLost
  Celtics$5 @ 47.0¢
• Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Lost
  Over$64 @ 64.0¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Won
  No$296 @ 61.7¢
• Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Won
  No$400 @ 87.0¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Won
  No$610 @ 61.0¢
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.8k @ 87.5¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Won
  No$649 @ 53.8¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Lost
  Yes$247 @ 10.2¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$1.3k @ 88.0¢

Current positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$7.3k @ 81.1¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$4.4k @ 88.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$4.2k @ 43.2¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$3.5k @ 84.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$2.0k @ 32.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$1.7k @ 49.8¢
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.6k @ 30.1¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$952 @ 24.1¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$856 @ 68.6¢
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$774 @ 96.7¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$690 @ 69.0¢
• Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  No$616 @ 62.7¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$592 @ 24.3¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$532 @ 60.0¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  Yes$473 @ 85.8¢
• Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$380 @ 19.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  No$312 @ 44.6¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$300 @ 75.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics
  No$271 @ 79.0¢
• Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$254 @ 45.5¢
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  Yes$248 @ 92.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$233 @ 85.6¢
• Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
  No$225 @ 65.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$210 @ 21.0¢
• Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  Yes$200 @ 80.7¢
• Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture
  No$191 @ 48.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$190 @ 95.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$185 @ 69.0¢
• Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  Yes$166 @ 3.5¢
• Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Politics
  No$138 @ 46.0¢