0x9531…9099

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9531648404719924d349dd4911a55a268fc69099
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-4.6pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

46% @ 50.9¢

Brier

0.123

Resolved

689

Avg size

$492

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	64% (23/36)	+26%	36
Sports	50% (16/32)	+3%	32
Politics	64% (7/11)	+14%	11
Crypto	13% (1/8)	-89%	8
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other36 bets
Hit rate
64% (23/36)
ROI
+26%
Sports32 bets
Hit rate
50% (16/32)
ROI
+3%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
64% (7/11)
ROI
+14%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
-89%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

53% hit · 47/88

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	$4.0k	87.0¢	Won
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$9.5k	76.2¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.5k	7.0¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	$6.5k	85.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	$610	29.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.1k	6.3¢	Lost
Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	$1.2k	65.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	$500	14.9¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$2.5k	69.0¢	Won
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	$3.5k	21.9¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	$17.2k	74.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	$2.3k	43.6¢	Lost
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	$1.5k	53.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	$3.2k	69.0¢	Lost
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	$1.1k	52.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$1.6k	79.3¢	Won
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	$2.1k	86.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$4.5k	48.6¢	Lost
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$2.4k	23.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	Yes	$929	49.4¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	$1.2k	32.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$17.0k	76.5¢	Won
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?	Yes	$89	45.7¢	Won
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?	Yes	$1.4k	34.4¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	$712	55.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	$4.1k	56.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	$2.0k	66.8¢	Lost
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	$15.8k	83.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	$6.2k	58.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	$1.2k	83.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$12.5k	88.7¢	Won
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$5.9k	46.8¢	Lost
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$2.2k	2.4¢	Lost
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?	Yes	$834	82.2¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	$1.0k	67.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	$13.9k	86.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	$3.1k	59.3¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$2.0k	41.9¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	$1.0k	31.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	$1.1k	77.0¢	Won
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$4.1k	67.9¢	Won
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?	No	$600	24.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	$200	31.2¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$12.0k	58.4¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	No	$2.0k	66.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	$2.0k	72.2¢	Won
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$40	63.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$35.5k	77.6¢	Won
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$513	15.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$6.4k	68.4¢	Won

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Won
Yes$4.0k @ 87.0¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Won
Yes$9.5k @ 76.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2.5k @ 7.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Won
Yes$6.5k @ 85.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Lost
Yes$610 @ 29.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 6.3¢
Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 65.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?Lost
Yes$500 @ 14.9¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 69.0¢
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Lost
Yes$3.5k @ 21.9¢
Will France win on 2026-09-25?Won
Yes$17.2k @ 74.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?Lost
Yes$2.3k @ 43.6¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 53.0¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?Lost
Yes$3.2k @ 69.0¢
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 52.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$1.6k @ 79.3¢
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 86.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$4.5k @ 48.6¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
Yes$2.4k @ 23.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?Lost
Yes$929 @ 49.4¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 32.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$17.0k @ 76.5¢
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?Won
Yes$89 @ 45.7¢
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 34.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Lost
Yes$712 @ 55.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Lost
Yes$4.1k @ 56.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 66.8¢
Will Rodri join Barcelona?Won
Yes$15.8k @ 83.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Won
No$6.2k @ 58.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 83.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$12.5k @ 88.7¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
Yes$5.9k @ 46.8¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$2.2k @ 2.4¢
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Won
Yes$834 @ 82.2¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 67.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Won
Yes$13.9k @ 86.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Lost
Yes$3.1k @ 59.3¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$2.0k @ 41.9¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 31.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 77.0¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 67.9¢
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?Lost
No$600 @ 24.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Won
Yes$200 @ 31.2¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$12.0k @ 58.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Won
No$2.0k @ 66.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Won
No$2.0k @ 72.2¢
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
No$40 @ 63.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$35.5k @ 77.6¢
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
Yes$513 @ 15.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$6.4k @ 68.4¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Crypto	Yes	$3.3k	66.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Politics	Yes	$3.0k	73.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Crypto
Yes$3.3k @ 66.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
Yes$3.0k @ 73.0¢