0x94a4…6356

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x94a428cfa4f84b264e01f70d93d02bc96cb36356
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+20.9pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

83% @ 62.1¢

Brier

0.129

Resolved

7296

Avg size

$695

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	39% (11/28)	+16%	28
Politics	17% (1/6)	-54%	6
Economy	100% (1/1)	+27%	1

Other28 bets
Hit rate
39% (11/28)
ROI
+16%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-54%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+27%

Track record

37% hit · 13/35

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
0x00d54533…	Yes	$2.7k	68.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	No	$83.1k	77.1¢	Won
0x1312c71c…	Yes	$169	39.6¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$206.7k	69.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	No	$4.0k	79.0¢	Won
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?	Yes	$48.5k	55.9¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$551.0k	79.6¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$77.6k	81.4¢	Won
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	No	$107.5k	43.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	$269	71.3¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$42.0k	42.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	$1.8k	72.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$801	8.0¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$39.2k	68.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	No	$48.0k	78.2¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	$38.2k	19.5¢	Won
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?	Yes	$1.1k	45.9¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	$41.4k	33.6¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	No	$27.1k	83.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	$110.0k	55.0¢	Lost
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$12.1k	72.0¢	Lost
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1.3k	37.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$136	1.3¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$655	3.2¢	Lost
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$125.0k	28.4¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	$132	59.5¢	Lost
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?	Yes	$10.0k	62.5¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$30.1k	78.5¢	Won
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	Yes	$10.0k	77.6¢	Lost
0xd8423c8d…	Yes	$62.0k	62.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$3176.8k	66.8¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	No	$2.0k	81.0¢	Won
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$21.0k	74.3¢	Won
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	$62.0k	62.0¢	Lost
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	$64.1k	62.1¢	Lost

0x00d54533…Lost
Yes$2.7k @ 68.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Won
No$83.1k @ 77.1¢
0x1312c71c…Won
Yes$169 @ 39.6¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$206.7k @ 69.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Won
No$4.0k @ 79.0¢
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?Lost
Yes$48.5k @ 55.9¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$551.0k @ 79.6¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$77.6k @ 81.4¢
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Lost
No$107.5k @ 43.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Lost
Yes$269 @ 71.3¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$42.0k @ 42.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 72.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$801 @ 8.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
No$39.2k @ 68.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Won
No$48.0k @ 78.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Won
Yes$38.2k @ 19.5¢
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 45.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Lost
No$41.4k @ 33.6¢
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Won
No$27.1k @ 83.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Lost
No$110.0k @ 55.0¢
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$12.1k @ 72.0¢
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 37.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$136 @ 1.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$655 @ 3.2¢
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$125.0k @ 28.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Lost
Yes$132 @ 59.5¢
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Lost
Yes$10.0k @ 62.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Won
Yes$30.1k @ 78.5¢
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Lost
Yes$10.0k @ 77.6¢
0xd8423c8d…Lost
Yes$62.0k @ 62.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$3176.8k @ 66.8¢
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Won
No$2.0k @ 81.0¢
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$21.0k @ 74.3¢
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Lost
No$62.0k @ 62.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$64.1k @ 62.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Politics	Yes	$62.5k	77.2¢

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics
Yes$62.5k @ 77.2¢