0x92b0…7582

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x92b040788387a2b6bda49c078573f87216c07582
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.6pp

ROI

+37%

Win rate

80% @ 61.0¢

Brier

0.157

Resolved

225

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	69% (37/54)	+42%	54
Politics	86% (24/28)	+30%	28
Geopolitics	100% (5/5)	+19%	5
Sports	100% (2/2)	+135%	2

Other54 bets
Hit rate
69% (37/54)
ROI
+42%
Politics28 bets
Hit rate
86% (24/28)
ROI
+30%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+19%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+135%

Track record

76% hit · 68/89

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	$8	84.9¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	$2	84.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	$8	38.8¢	Won
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	DN SOOPers	$6	18.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$4	70.5¢	Won
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$3	67.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	No	$8	35.4¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$8	72.7¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$4	31.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$8	79.5¢	Won
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?	No	$3	23.0¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	$3	73.0¢	Won
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	$1	85.4¢	Won
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	$2	76.0¢	Won
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?	No	$12	60.0¢	Won
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	No	$10	65.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$4	81.8¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??	No	$5	89.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	$5	73.4¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	$3	39.7¢	Won
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	$4	74.5¢	Won
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?	No	$9	36.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$2	13.2¢	Won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Karmine Corp	$3	18.0¢	Lost
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?	No	$6	77.5¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$6	83.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	$6	86.3¢	Won
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$6	89.0¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$2	56.7¢	Won
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?	No	$9	50.0¢	Won
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX	$4	27.0¢	Lost
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION	$5	33.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$7	58.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$8	51.4¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	$4	89.0¢	Won
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?	No	$4	74.0¢	Lost
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?	No	$5	31.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$6	49.3¢	Lost
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$8	79.3¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	$6	85.7¢	Won
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	$1	77.0¢	Lost
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?	No	$2	46.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	No	$9	25.7¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	$10	59.7¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	No	$4	51.0¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$5	35.1¢	Won
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	$3	79.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$2	29.5¢	Lost
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$5	81.4¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$5	48.1¢	Won

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 84.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 84.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
No$8 @ 38.8¢
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerLost
DN SOOPers$6 @ 18.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 70.5¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$3 @ 67.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?Lost
No$8 @ 35.4¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
No$8 @ 72.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 31.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$8 @ 79.5¢
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?Lost
No$3 @ 23.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Won
No$3 @ 73.0¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 85.4¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
No$2 @ 76.0¢
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?Won
No$12 @ 60.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
No$10 @ 65.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 81.8¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??Won
No$5 @ 89.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 73.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Won
No$3 @ 39.7¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Won
No$4 @ 74.5¢
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?Won
No$9 @ 36.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$2 @ 13.2¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLost
Karmine Corp$3 @ 18.0¢
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Won
No$6 @ 77.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$6 @ 83.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Won
No$6 @ 86.3¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Won
No$6 @ 89.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
Yes$2 @ 56.7¢
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?Won
No$9 @ 50.0¢
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
Kiwoom DRX$4 @ 27.0¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Won
HANJIN BRION$5 @ 33.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 58.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$8 @ 51.4¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
No$4 @ 89.0¢
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?Lost
No$4 @ 74.0¢
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?Won
No$5 @ 31.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 49.3¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 79.3¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Won
No$6 @ 85.7¢
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 77.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?Lost
No$2 @ 46.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?Lost
No$9 @ 25.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 59.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 51.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
Yes$5 @ 35.1¢
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Won
No$3 @ 79.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 29.5¢
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 81.4¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 48.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	—	Yes	$14	96.1¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$10	39.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	64.5¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$10	39.3¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Politics	No	$10	96.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$9	68.3¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	No	$7	76.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$7	48.3¢
Will Byron Donalds finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	—	No	$6	99.5¢
Will Ann Marie Danimus advance to the general election for WA-05?	—	No	$5	99.9¢
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	—	No	$5	99.8¢
Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?	—	No	$5	99.7¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	No	$5	96.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	93.4¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	—	No	$5	96.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$5	94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	95.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	95.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	92.0¢
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?	—	No	$5	57.0¢
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	—	Yes	$5	99.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	—	No	$5	99.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$5	95.7¢
Will Trump say "Gay" in August?	—	Yes	$5	37.0¢
Will Trump say "Ass" in August?	—	Yes	$4	73.0¢

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?—
Yes$14 @ 96.1¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$10 @ 39.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 64.5¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$10 @ 39.3¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
No$10 @ 96.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$9 @ 68.3¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
No$7 @ 76.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?—
No$7 @ 48.3¢
Will Byron Donalds finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?—
No$6 @ 99.5¢
Will Ann Marie Danimus advance to the general election for WA-05?—
No$5 @ 99.9¢
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?—
No$5 @ 99.8¢
Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?—
No$5 @ 99.7¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
No$5 @ 96.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 93.4¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?—
No$5 @ 96.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 95.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 95.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 92.0¢
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?—
No$5 @ 57.0¢
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?—
Yes$5 @ 99.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?—
No$5 @ 99.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 95.7¢
Will Trump say "Gay" in August?—
Yes$5 @ 37.0¢
Will Trump say "Ass" in August?—
Yes$4 @ 73.0¢