0x92b0…7582

Specialization by sphere

• Other51 bets

  Hit rate

  69% (35/51)

  ROI

  +42%

• Politics28 bets

  Hit rate

  86% (24/28)

  ROI

  +30%

• Geopolitics5 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (5/5)

  ROI

  +19%

• Sports2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +135%

• Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$8 @ 84.9¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Won
  No$2 @ 84.0¢
• Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
  No$8 @ 38.8¢
• LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerLost
  DN SOOPers$6 @ 18.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 70.5¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$3 @ 67.0¢
• Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?Lost
  No$8 @ 35.4¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
  No$8 @ 72.7¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 31.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$8 @ 79.5¢
• Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?Lost
  No$3 @ 23.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Won
  No$3 @ 73.0¢
• Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$1 @ 85.4¢
• Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
  No$2 @ 76.0¢
• Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?Won
  No$12 @ 60.0¢
• Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
  No$10 @ 65.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 81.8¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??Won
  No$5 @ 89.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Won
  No$5 @ 73.4¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Won
  No$3 @ 39.7¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Won
  No$4 @ 74.5¢
• Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?Won
  No$9 @ 36.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
  Yes$2 @ 13.2¢
• LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLost
  Karmine Corp$3 @ 18.0¢
• Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$6 @ 77.5¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$6 @ 83.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$6 @ 86.3¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$6 @ 89.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
  Yes$2 @ 56.7¢
• Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?Won
  No$9 @ 50.0¢
• LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
  Kiwoom DRX$4 @ 27.0¢
• LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Won
  HANJIN BRION$5 @ 33.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$7 @ 58.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$8 @ 51.4¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$4 @ 89.0¢
• Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?Lost
  No$4 @ 74.0¢
• Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?Won
  No$5 @ 31.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 49.3¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$8 @ 79.3¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Won
  No$6 @ 85.7¢
• Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Lost
  No$1 @ 77.0¢
• Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?Lost
  No$2 @ 46.0¢
• Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?Lost
  No$9 @ 25.7¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 59.7¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 51.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
  Yes$5 @ 35.1¢
• Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Won
  No$3 @ 79.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 29.5¢
• Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$5 @ 81.4¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$5 @ 48.1¢

Current positions

• Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 77.5¢
• Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 76.5¢
• Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Politics
  No$10 @ 76.0¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?—
  No$9 @ 79.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$8 @ 79.3¢
• Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?—
  Yes$7 @ 54.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$7 @ 89.8¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$6 @ 74.5¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Politics
  No$6 @ 96.5¢
• Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  No$6 @ 76.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$5 @ 80.0¢
• Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics
  No$5 @ 96.1¢
• Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics
  No$5 @ 76.0¢
• Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 5–10%?—
  Yes$5 @ 38.0¢
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?—
  No$2 @ 39.0¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$2 @ 85.0¢
• Will Melissa Agard win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics
  No$1 @ 99.9¢
• Will Chris Larson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics
  No$1 @ 99.9¢
• Will Tom Nelson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics
  No$1 @ 99.9¢
• Will Tim Jacobson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics
  No$1 @ 99.9¢
• Will Missy Hughes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics
  No$1 @ 99.9¢
• Will Zachary Roper win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics
  No$1 @ 99.9¢
• Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?—
  Yes$1 @ 98.1¢