0x92b0…7582

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x92b040788387a2b6bda49c078573f87216c07582
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.9pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

66% @ 58.2¢

Brier

0.180

Resolved

534

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	66% (100/151)	+8%	151
Politics	80% (95/119)	+16%	119
Sports	51% (38/75)	+14%	75
Geopolitics	94% (16/17)	+25%	17
Culture	100% (1/1)	+0%	1

Other151 bets
Hit rate
66% (100/151)
ROI
+8%
Politics119 bets
Hit rate
80% (95/119)
ROI
+16%
Sports75 bets
Hit rate
51% (38/75)
ROI
+14%
Geopolitics17 bets
Hit rate
94% (16/17)
ROI
+25%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+0%

Track record

69% hit · 250/363

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$10	56.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	$1	75.5¢	Won
Texas A&M vs. Alabama: O/U 51.5	Over	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	No	$1	21.0¢	Lost
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	$3	60.0¢	Lost
Spread: Colts (-6.5)	Titans	$1	23.0¢	Won
Lehigh vs. Cornell	Cornell	$1	28.0¢	Won
Spread: Temple (-10.5)	Temple	$3	53.0¢	Lost
Spread: Cincinnati (-4.5)	Cincinnati	$3	54.0¢	Lost
Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5	Over	$4	70.0¢	Lost
Spread: Ohio State (-6.5)	Ohio State	$3	51.0¢	Lost
Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 34.5	Over	$2	30.0¢	Lost
Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 34.5	Under	$3	58.0¢	Won
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)	Indiana	$2	44.0¢	Won
Spread: West Virginia (-1.5)	West Virginia	$2	44.0¢	Won
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 23?	Yes	$5	97.3¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	$7	88.0¢	Won
Raptors vs. Knicks	Raptors	$2	40.0¢	Lost
1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Broncos	$2	40.0¢	Won
Coastal Carolina vs. Marshall: O/U 55.5	Over	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	$2	46.0¢	Won
Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	$2	31.0¢	Won
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	$8	84.9¢	Won
Spread: Giants (-3.5)	Giants	$2	40.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$2	34.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	$2	84.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	$8	38.8¢	Won
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)	Raiders	$1	29.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	$8	86.2¢	Won
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?	No	$3	26.0¢	Lost
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	DN SOOPers	$5	18.0¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Clippers	Clippers	$23	55.6¢	Won
Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 44.5	Under	$3	59.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$4	70.5¢	Won
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$3	67.0¢	Won
Spread: Panthers (-4.5)	Lions	$1	20.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?	No	$2	31.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	No	$8	35.4¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$8	72.7¢	Won
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$6	78.8¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$2	31.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?	Yes	$5	68.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	74.4¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$8	79.5¢	Won
Jets vs. Bears: O/U 41.5	Over	$3	51.0¢	Lost
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?	No	$3	23.0¢	Lost
Senators vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5	Under	$2	39.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$4	55.0¢	Lost
Spread: Giants (-4.5)	Cardinals	$4	86.0¢	Lost
Spread: Giants (-4.5)	Giants	$4	89.0¢	Won

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$10 @ 56.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Won
Yes$1 @ 75.5¢
Texas A&M vs. Alabama: O/U 51.5Lost
Over$1 @ 10.0¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansLost
No$1 @ 21.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansLost
Cleveland Guardians$3 @ 60.0¢
Spread: Colts (-6.5)Won
Titans$1 @ 23.0¢
Lehigh vs. CornellWon
Cornell$1 @ 28.0¢
Spread: Temple (-10.5)Lost
Temple$3 @ 53.0¢
Spread: Cincinnati (-4.5)Lost
Cincinnati$3 @ 54.0¢
Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Lost
Over$4 @ 70.0¢
Spread: Ohio State (-6.5)Lost
Ohio State$3 @ 51.0¢
Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 34.5Lost
Over$2 @ 30.0¢
Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 34.5Won
Under$3 @ 58.0¢
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)Won
Indiana$2 @ 44.0¢
Spread: West Virginia (-1.5)Won
West Virginia$2 @ 44.0¢
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 23?Won
Yes$5 @ 97.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Won
No$7 @ 88.0¢
Raptors vs. KnicksLost
Raptors$2 @ 40.0¢
1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Won
Broncos$2 @ 40.0¢
Coastal Carolina vs. Marshall: O/U 55.5Lost
Over$1 @ 3.0¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 46.0¢
Rams vs. EaglesWon
Rams$2 @ 31.0¢
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 84.9¢
Spread: Giants (-3.5)Won
Giants$2 @ 40.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 34.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 84.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
No$8 @ 38.8¢
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)Won
Raiders$1 @ 29.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
No$8 @ 86.2¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?Lost
No$3 @ 26.0¢
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerLost
DN SOOPers$5 @ 18.0¢
Warriors vs. ClippersWon
Clippers$23 @ 55.6¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 44.5Lost
Under$3 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 70.5¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$3 @ 67.0¢
Spread: Panthers (-4.5)Lost
Lions$1 @ 20.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?Won
No$2 @ 31.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?Lost
No$8 @ 35.4¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
No$8 @ 72.7¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$6 @ 78.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 31.0¢
Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?Won
Yes$5 @ 68.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 74.4¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$8 @ 79.5¢
Jets vs. Bears: O/U 41.5Lost
Over$3 @ 51.0¢
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?Lost
No$3 @ 23.0¢
Senators vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Won
Under$2 @ 39.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$4 @ 55.0¢
Spread: Giants (-4.5)Lost
Cardinals$4 @ 86.0¢
Spread: Giants (-4.5)Won
Giants$4 @ 89.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	No	$15	86.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$11	89.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	96.5¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$10	39.5¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	95.8¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$10	39.3¢
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Politics	Yes	$8	58.0¢
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Politics	No	$6	76.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$6	96.7¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$5	73.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	30.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	No	$5	96.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	96.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$5	96.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$5	96.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	96.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	96.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?	Politics	No	$5	96.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	93.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$5	94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	94.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	No	$5	93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	95.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$5	95.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat?	Politics	No	$5	95.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%?	Politics	No	$5	88.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$5	87.0¢
Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Politics	No	$5	96.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	95.4¢

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
No$15 @ 86.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$11 @ 89.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 96.5¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$10 @ 39.5¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 95.8¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$10 @ 39.3¢
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics
Yes$8 @ 58.0¢
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics
No$6 @ 76.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$6 @ 96.7¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 73.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 30.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
No$5 @ 96.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 96.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat?Politics
Yes$5 @ 96.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat?Politics
Yes$5 @ 96.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 96.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 96.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?Politics
No$5 @ 96.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 93.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 94.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
No$5 @ 93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 95.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?Politics
Yes$5 @ 95.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat?Politics
No$5 @ 95.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%?Politics
No$5 @ 88.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$5 @ 87.0¢
Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
No$5 @ 96.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 95.4¢