0x91c9…d319

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x91c92bca4f5c8d240dc7af7945ba2ac18025d319
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.0pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

82% @ 71.3¢

Brier

0.126

Resolved

548

Avg size

$54

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	75% (85/114)	+20%	114
Politics	81% (54/67)	+11%	67
Geopolitics	91% (50/55)	+5%	55

Other114 bets
Hit rate
75% (85/114)
ROI
+20%
Politics67 bets
Hit rate
81% (54/67)
ROI
+11%
Geopolitics55 bets
Hit rate
91% (50/55)
ROI
+5%

Track record

80% hit · 189/236

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	$115	89.6¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	$8	84.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	$5	86.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	$10	89.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	$20	92.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	$40	96.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	$110	59.8¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	$70	93.8¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	$40	97.5¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes	$20	96.6¢	Won
Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?	No	$100	95.5¢	Won
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	No	$230	87.8¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	$40	90.4¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	$20	64.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	$20	57.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	$4	40.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	$235	74.8¢	Won
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	$100	85.4¢	Won
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?	No	$20	92.1¢	Won
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	$52	88.0¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	$300	91.0¢	Won
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?	No	$490	92.8¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?	No	$300	94.9¢	Won
Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	$9	39.3¢	Lost
Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	$20	71.0¢	Lost
Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	$20	90.0¢	Won
Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	$100	94.2¢	Won
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$10	61.0¢	Won
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	$10	47.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	$30	86.0¢	Won
Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	$20	84.0¢	Won
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	$40	82.7¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	$17	90.2¢	Won
Will RZP-Zehut win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	$10	91.4¢	Won
Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	$50	96.9¢	Won
Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	$50	95.6¢	Won
Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	$7	94.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	$13	94.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	$20	85.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	$20	89.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	$50	94.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	$50	96.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	$20	95.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	$110	81.7¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	$37	94.0¢	Won
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	No	$50	58.8¢	Won
Will Israel strike Syria on Friday August 29?	No	$10	82.0¢	Won
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?	No	$300	75.0¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?	No	$80	75.9¢	Won
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?	No	$140	22.2¢	Lost

Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?Won
No$115 @ 89.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Won
Yes$8 @ 84.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?Won
Yes$5 @ 86.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Won
Yes$10 @ 89.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Won
Yes$20 @ 92.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?Won
Yes$40 @ 96.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Won
Yes$110 @ 59.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Won
Yes$70 @ 93.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Won
Yes$40 @ 97.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?Won
Yes$20 @ 96.6¢
Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?Won
No$100 @ 95.5¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Won
No$230 @ 87.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Lost
Yes$40 @ 90.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Lost
Yes$20 @ 64.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Lost
Yes$20 @ 57.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 40.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Won
Yes$235 @ 74.8¢
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 85.4¢
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?Won
No$20 @ 92.1¢
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Won
No$52 @ 88.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Won
No$300 @ 91.0¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?Won
No$490 @ 92.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?Won
No$300 @ 94.9¢
Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Lost
Yes$9 @ 39.3¢
Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Lost
Yes$20 @ 71.0¢
Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
No$20 @ 90.0¢
Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
No$100 @ 94.2¢
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
Yes$10 @ 61.0¢
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Lost
Opp.$10 @ 47.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Won
Yes$30 @ 86.0¢
Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
No$20 @ 84.0¢
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?Won
No$40 @ 82.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Won
Yes$17 @ 90.2¢
Will RZP-Zehut win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
No$10 @ 91.4¢
Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
Yes$50 @ 96.9¢
Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
No$50 @ 95.6¢
Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
Yes$7 @ 94.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Won
Yes$13 @ 94.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Won
Yes$20 @ 85.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Won
Yes$20 @ 89.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Won
Yes$50 @ 94.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Won
Yes$50 @ 96.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Won
Yes$20 @ 95.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Won
Yes$110 @ 81.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Won
Yes$37 @ 94.0¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Won
No$50 @ 58.8¢
Will Israel strike Syria on Friday August 29?Won
No$10 @ 82.0¢
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?Won
No$300 @ 75.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Won
No$80 @ 75.9¢
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Lost
No$140 @ 22.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$245	84.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$201	68.2¢
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$200	94.8¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Politics	No	$200	95.0¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?	Geopolitics	No	$157	78.8¢
Israel Election: Yashar and Likud in coalition?	Politics	No	$156	78.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$151	71.3¢
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$130	81.8¢
Will Hezbollah target Israel by November 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$110	85.0¢
Will Hezbollah target Israel by November 15, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$110	89.5¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$106	89.1¢
Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$105	75.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Politics	No	$100	91.6¢
Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$100	91.1¢
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$100	93.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$100	87.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Geopolitics	Yes	$100	70.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Geopolitics	Yes	$97	70.4¢
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$92	61.0¢
Israel military action against Iraq by November 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$88	74.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Geopolitics	Yes	$88	86.7¢
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$77	92.8¢
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?	Politics	Yes	$75	43.9¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Politics	No	$72	94.8¢
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$70	82.7¢
Will Together be in the next Israeli government?	Politics	Yes	$69	69.0¢
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Politics	No	$66	55.0¢
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	Politics	Yes	$51	69.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	Geopolitics	Yes	$50	94.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20?	Geopolitics	Yes	$50	92.0¢

Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$245 @ 84.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Geopolitics
Yes$201 @ 68.2¢
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$200 @ 94.8¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics
No$200 @ 95.0¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?Geopolitics
No$157 @ 78.8¢
Israel Election: Yashar and Likud in coalition?Politics
No$156 @ 78.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$151 @ 71.3¢
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$130 @ 81.8¢
Will Hezbollah target Israel by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$110 @ 85.0¢
Will Hezbollah target Israel by November 15, 2026?Geopolitics
No$110 @ 89.5¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Geopolitics
No$106 @ 89.1¢
Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?Politics
No$105 @ 75.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics
No$100 @ 91.6¢
Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by December 31?Politics
Yes$100 @ 91.1¢
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$100 @ 93.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Geopolitics
No$100 @ 87.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Geopolitics
Yes$100 @ 70.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Geopolitics
Yes$97 @ 70.4¢
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$92 @ 61.0¢
Israel military action against Iraq by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$88 @ 74.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Geopolitics
Yes$88 @ 86.7¢
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?Politics
No$77 @ 92.8¢
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?Politics
Yes$75 @ 43.9¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics
No$72 @ 94.8¢
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$70 @ 82.7¢
Will Together be in the next Israeli government?Politics
Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Politics
No$66 @ 55.0¢
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?Politics
Yes$51 @ 69.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?Geopolitics
Yes$50 @ 94.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20?Geopolitics
Yes$50 @ 92.0¢