0x91c9…d319

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x91c92bca4f5c8d240dc7af7945ba2ac18025d319
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.8pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

82% @ 70.9¢

Brier

0.130

Resolved

529

Avg size

$54

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	74% (84/113)	+19%	113
Geopolitics	85% (29/34)	+1%	34
Politics	82% (27/33)	+13%	33

Other113 bets
Hit rate
74% (84/113)
ROI
+19%
Geopolitics34 bets
Hit rate
85% (29/34)
ROI
+1%
Politics33 bets
Hit rate
82% (27/33)
ROI
+13%

Track record

78% hit · 140/180

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	No	$50	58.8¢	Won
Will Israel strike Syria on Friday August 29?	No	$10	82.0¢	Won
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?	No	$300	75.0¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?	No	$80	75.9¢	Won
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?	No	$140	22.2¢	Lost
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?	No	$5	20.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	No	$220	46.2¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	No	$10	88.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?	No	$20	79.1¢	Won
Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?	No	$40	75.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$30	87.0¢	Won
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?	No	$522	84.7¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?	Yes	$50	87.1¢	Won
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	$569	78.6¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$151	74.4¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$45	50.0¢	Lost
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$10	87.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran before August?	No	$40	71.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	No	$9	45.0¢	Won
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?	No	$40	80.0¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?	No	$40	87.5¢	Won
Khamenei seen in public by March 3?	No	$10	71.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$200	86.5¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$400	77.2¢	Won
Khamenei seen in public by March 7?	No	$100	81.8¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$200	84.2¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?	No	$120	81.3¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$320	82.7¢	Won
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?	No	$180	82.4¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	$100	73.7¢	Won
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	$1.0k	82.4¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$230	69.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	$92	70.8¢	Won
Israel military action against Iran in July?	No	$40	70.5¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?	Yes	$37	72.3¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$240	63.9¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?	Yes	$60	83.2¢	Won
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?	No	$170	51.3¢	Won
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	No	$301	73.7¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$20	83.0¢	Won
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?	No	$20	6.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?	Yes	$36	66.7¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$10	77.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Yes	$20	83.0¢	Won
Israeli parliament dissolved before August?	No	$100	89.8¢	Won
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	$130	69.5¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?	No	$150	44.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by January 31, 2026?	No	$183	71.7¢	Won
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?	No	$200	88.4¢	Won
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	$1	8.0¢	Lost

Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Won
No$50 @ 58.8¢
Will Israel strike Syria on Friday August 29?Won
No$10 @ 82.0¢
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?Won
No$300 @ 75.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Won
No$80 @ 75.9¢
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Lost
No$140 @ 22.2¢
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?Lost
No$5 @ 20.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Won
No$220 @ 46.2¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Won
No$10 @ 88.0¢
Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?Won
No$20 @ 79.1¢
Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?Won
No$40 @ 75.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$30 @ 87.0¢
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Lost
No$522 @ 84.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Won
Yes$50 @ 87.1¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Won
No$569 @ 78.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
No$151 @ 74.4¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Lost
Yes$45 @ 50.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Lost
Yes$10 @ 87.0¢
Israel strikes Iran before August?Won
No$40 @ 71.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Won
No$9 @ 45.0¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?Won
No$40 @ 80.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Won
No$40 @ 87.5¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 3?Won
No$10 @ 71.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
No$200 @ 86.5¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
No$400 @ 77.2¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 7?Won
No$100 @ 81.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
No$200 @ 84.2¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Lost
No$120 @ 81.3¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$320 @ 82.7¢
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?Won
No$180 @ 82.4¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Won
No$100 @ 73.7¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Won
No$1.0k @ 82.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Won
Yes$230 @ 69.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Won
Yes$92 @ 70.8¢
Israel military action against Iran in July?Won
No$40 @ 70.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Won
Yes$37 @ 72.3¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$240 @ 63.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Won
Yes$60 @ 83.2¢
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Won
No$170 @ 51.3¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Won
No$301 @ 73.7¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 83.0¢
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Lost
No$20 @ 6.0¢
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Won
Yes$36 @ 66.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$10 @ 77.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Won
Yes$20 @ 83.0¢
Israeli parliament dissolved before August?Won
No$100 @ 89.8¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Won
No$130 @ 69.5¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Won
No$150 @ 44.0¢
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by January 31, 2026?Won
No$183 @ 71.7¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?Won
No$200 @ 88.4¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Lost
No$1 @ 8.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?	Politics	No	$490	92.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$450	83.3¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$410	90.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	Politics	No	$324	91.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$300	91.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$252	92.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$235	74.8¢
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$210	90.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$200	70.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Politics	Yes	$60	83.2¢
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$52	88.0¢
Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$50	96.0¢
Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	Yes	$31	90.1¢
Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	Yes	$20	71.0¢
Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	Yes	$9	39.3¢

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?Politics
No$490 @ 92.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$450 @ 83.3¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Geopolitics
No$410 @ 90.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Politics
No$324 @ 91.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Geopolitics
No$300 @ 91.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Geopolitics
No$252 @ 92.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics
Yes$235 @ 74.8¢
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$210 @ 90.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Geopolitics
Yes$200 @ 70.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics
Yes$60 @ 83.2¢
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$52 @ 88.0¢
Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?Politics
No$50 @ 96.0¢
Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
Yes$31 @ 90.1¢
Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
Yes$20 @ 71.0¢
Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
Yes$9 @ 39.3¢