0x913c…5a7c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x913c07a3c44a57212f509a5c51f70fc252c45a7c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.1pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

51% @ 41.9¢

Brier

0.214

Resolved

255

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (27/52)	+19%	52
Politics	52% (24/46)	+49%	46
Sports	33% (4/12)	-10%	12
Geopolitics	17% (1/6)	-21%	6
Crypto	75% (3/4)	+53%	4

Other52 bets
Hit rate
52% (27/52)
ROI
+19%
Politics46 bets
Hit rate
52% (24/46)
ROI
+49%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
33% (4/12)
ROI
-10%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-21%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+53%

Track record

49% hit · 59/120

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$5	44.4¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	$3	88.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$7	30.0¢	Won
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?	No	$4	51.0¢	Lost
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?	Yes	$2	51.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	8.7¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	58.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	17.8¢	Lost
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal	Stanford Cardinal	$2	59.0¢	Lost
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	$1	39.9¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$2	74.8¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$1	72.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?	Yes	$2	83.4¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$2	13.9¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$13	50.6¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$8	27.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$1	84.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$3	31.5¢	Won
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$8	1.3¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$2	14.4¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$2	30.5¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	Yes	$2	10.7¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$2	64.5¢	Won
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	3.6¢	Lost
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$1	82.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$1	23.0¢	Won
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$2	3.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	$2	82.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	$2	21.5¢	Won
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	No	$2	65.8¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	$3	29.7¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$1	54.9¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$3	48.4¢	Won
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	$1	42.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$2	24.6¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$4	51.6¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	31.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$9	47.4¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$3	42.3¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$2	74.3¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?	No	$2	42.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?	Yes	$2	59.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	Yes	$1	6.8¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	$3	30.6¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	69.6¢	Won

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$5 @ 44.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Won
No$3 @ 88.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$7 @ 30.0¢
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?Lost
No$4 @ 51.0¢
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?Won
Yes$2 @ 51.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 58.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 17.8¢
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford CardinalLost
Stanford Cardinal$2 @ 59.0¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Won
No$1 @ 39.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 74.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$1 @ 72.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Won
Yes$2 @ 83.4¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 13.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$13 @ 50.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 27.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$1 @ 84.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Won
No$3 @ 31.5¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$2 @ 14.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$2 @ 30.5¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.7¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
Yes$2 @ 64.5¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.6¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Won
No$1 @ 82.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 23.0¢
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$2 @ 3.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Lost
No$2 @ 82.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Won
Yes$2 @ 21.5¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Lost
No$2 @ 65.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Won
Yes$3 @ 29.7¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
No$1 @ 54.9¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
Yes$3 @ 48.4¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 42.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 24.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 51.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 31.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$9 @ 47.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$3 @ 42.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$2 @ 74.3¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?Lost
No$2 @ 42.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?Won
Yes$2 @ 59.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$3 @ 30.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 69.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$23	79.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$21	71.1¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$6	63.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$4	26.6¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$4	45.8¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	No	$3	91.4¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$3	96.1¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$3	25.3¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$23 @ 79.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$21 @ 71.1¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$6 @ 63.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$4 @ 26.6¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$4 @ 45.8¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
No$3 @ 91.4¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$3 @ 96.1¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$3 @ 25.3¢