← Smart money
0x90ed…b5bc
SharpEdge
-1.7pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
14% @ 16.0¢
Brier
0.082
Resolved
7790
Avg size
$52
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 35% (37/105) | -12% | 105 |
| Sports | 16% (4/25) | -56% | 25 |
| Politics | 33% (3/9) | +207% | 9 |
| Tech | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | +23% | 2 |
- Other105 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (37/105)
- ROI
- -12%
- Sports25 bets
- Hit rate
- 16% (4/25)
- ROI
- -56%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (3/9)
- ROI
- +207%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +23%
Track record
31% hit · 45/143- Sabres vs. KingsLostKings$1.0k @ 46.0¢
- Kentucky Wildcats$2.9k @ 33.0¢
- Panthers$489 @ 44.0¢
- Flyers$1.6k @ 47.7¢
- Yes$537 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$10.6k @ 5.5¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 11.5¢
- No$3.7k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 5.1¢
- Yes$56 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$67 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$7.4k @ 39.7¢
- No$609 @ 3.9¢
- Jets$889 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$6.0k @ 84.0¢
- Sabres$416 @ 36.0¢
- Northern Iowa Panthers$2.3k @ 17.5¢
- Yes$599 @ 1.4¢
- No$878 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 6.8¢
- Yes$689 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$218 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$11.6k @ 11.4¢
- Yes$22.9k @ 10.2¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 2.3¢
- Bears$5.5k @ 35.6¢
- Yes$196 @ 0.2¢
- No$4.6k @ 83.2¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 1.6¢
- Blue Jackets$1.5k @ 67.0¢
- Yes$760 @ 5.2¢
- Wild$1.3k @ 39.0¢
- Iowa Hawkeyes$2.6k @ 46.0¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 12.3¢
- Kansas Jayhawks$3.0k @ 39.0¢
- No$22 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 5.6¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 67.3¢
- No$1.5k @ 52.6¢
- Yes$356 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$74 @ 0.1¢
- Hofstra Pride$1.4k @ 14.3¢
- Hurricanes$1.5k @ 66.0¢
- Red Wings$1.1k @ 48.0¢
- Golden Knights$203 @ 54.0¢
- No$267 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 48.0¢
- No$944 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$889 @ 0.7¢
- No$1.5k @ 11.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$87.7k @ 22.9¢
- Yes$11.6k @ 43.3¢
- Yes$7.5k @ 39.6¢
- No$6.0k @ 75.6¢
- Yes$4.2k @ 1.8¢
- No$3.4k @ 83.1¢
- No$3.0k @ 61.4¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 26.5¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 53.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 3.5¢
- No$1000 @ 45.0¢
- No$500 @ 15.0¢
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsYes$454 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$408 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$400 @ 12.0¢
- No$319 @ 52.7¢
- Yes$165 @ 17.4¢
- No$144 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 12.0¢
- No$38 @ 81.2¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.7¢