0x90e5…d948

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x90e5388525bb127741947719e3d8d1520399d948
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.0pp

ROI

+40%

Win rate

82% @ 63.0¢

Brier

0.109

Resolved

Avg size

$23

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	100% (9/9)	+58%	9
Other	63% (5/8)	+23%	8
Sports	50% (3/6)	+8%	6

Politics9 bets
Hit rate
100% (9/9)
ROI
+58%
Other8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
+23%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
+8%

Track record

74% hit · 17/23

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	74.0¢	Won
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	$20	79.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	22.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	71.0¢	Won
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$1	58.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$10	79.1¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	9.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$412	61.6¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$2	29.9¢	Lost
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$100	89.0¢	Won
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	75.0¢	Lost
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	$45	74.4¢	Won
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	68.0¢	Won
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	87.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	No	$1	53.0¢	Won
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	No	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	Yes	$50	82.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	$1	60.0¢	Won
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	$16	66.8¢	Won
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?	Yes	$201	80.3¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$1	46.0¢	Won
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$5	88.0¢	Won

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$4 @ 74.0¢
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Won
Yes$20 @ 79.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 71.0¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Won
Yes$1 @ 58.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$10 @ 79.1¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$412 @ 61.6¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Lost
Yes$2 @ 29.9¢
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$100 @ 89.0¢
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 75.0¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Won
Yes$45 @ 74.4¢
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 68.0¢
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$20 @ 87.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Won
No$1 @ 53.0¢
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Lost
No$1 @ 14.0¢
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Won
Yes$50 @ 82.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Won
Yes$1 @ 60.0¢
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
Yes$16 @ 66.8¢
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Won
Yes$201 @ 80.3¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?Won
Yes$1 @ 46.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
Yes$5 @ 88.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$833	90.6¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Economy	Yes	$30	78.8¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$25	82.0¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$15	11.2¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$15	65.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$10	50.6¢
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Culture	Yes	$10	78.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$5	58.3¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$5	25.6¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$3	62.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$2	87.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1	38.0¢

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$833 @ 90.6¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Economy
Yes$30 @ 78.8¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$25 @ 82.0¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$15 @ 11.2¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$15 @ 65.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
Yes$10 @ 50.6¢
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Culture
Yes$10 @ 78.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$5 @ 58.3¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$5 @ 25.6¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$3 @ 62.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$2 @ 87.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
Yes$1 @ 38.0¢