← Smart money
0x9070…b3df
SharpEdge
+11.9pp
ROI
+27%
Win rate
74% @ 62.6¢
Brier
0.192
Resolved
258
Avg size
$3
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 98% (214/218) | +3% | 218 |
| Other | 80% (79/99) | +25% | 99 |
| Sports | 67% (18/27) | -8% | 27 |
| Politics | 92% (24/26) | -4% | 26 |
| Business | 100% (5/5) | +0% | 5 |
| Tech | 100% (3/3) | +0% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +0% | 1 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +0% | 1 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +0% | 1 |
- Crypto218 bets
- Hit rate
- 98% (214/218)
- ROI
- +3%
- Other99 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (79/99)
- ROI
- +25%
- Sports27 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (18/27)
- ROI
- -8%
- Politics26 bets
- Hit rate
- 92% (24/26)
- ROI
- -4%
- Business5 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (5/5)
- ROI
- +0%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +0%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +0%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +0%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +0%
Track record
91% hit · 346/381- Yes$2 @ 99.9¢
- Yes$7 @ 98.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 99.5¢
- No$7 @ 99.2¢
- No$6 @ 91.8¢
- No$10 @ 99.9¢
- No$10 @ 99.9¢
- No$2 @ 99.2¢
- No$19 @ 99.9¢
- No$13 @ 99.8¢
- No$22 @ 99.9¢
- No$18 @ 98.9¢
- No$18 @ 97.4¢
- No$11 @ 95.6¢
- No$10 @ 97.7¢
- No$2 @ 95.5¢
- No$2 @ 90.0¢
- No$10 @ 95.9¢
- No$23 @ 99.9¢
- No$5 @ 99.9¢
- No$11 @ 83.2¢
- No$6 @ 95.3¢
- No$4 @ 97.9¢
- No$6 @ 99.0¢
- No$2 @ 86.0¢
- No$8 @ 96.1¢
- No$19 @ 87.3¢
- No$14 @ 94.5¢
- No$3 @ 92.0¢
- No$2 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 99.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 99.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 99.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 94.0¢
- No$4 @ 99.4¢
- No$9 @ 99.1¢
- No$7 @ 95.5¢
- No$12 @ 97.6¢
- No$30 @ 99.9¢
- Yes$20 @ 99.9¢
- No$10 @ 99.9¢
- No$6 @ 96.0¢
- No$2 @ 98.0¢
- No$5 @ 99.9¢
- No$10 @ 98.9¢
- No$2 @ 98.5¢
- No$1 @ 99.3¢
- Yes$30 @ 99.9¢
- No$11 @ 97.8¢
- No$13 @ 98.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Politics | No | $40 | 99.8¢ |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1? | Crypto | No | $12 | 96.3¢ |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26? | Geopolitics | No | $10 | 99.9¢ |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $10 | 92.0¢ |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 1? | Crypto | Yes | $7 | 98.8¢ |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 1? | Crypto | No | $5 | 99.2¢ |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1? | Crypto | No | $5 | 91.8¢ |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 1? | Crypto | Yes | $4 | 99.5¢ |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 26-November 1? | Crypto | No | $3 | 98.8¢ |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 1? | Crypto | Yes | $2 | 99.9¢ |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 2? | Crypto | No | $2 | 99.5¢ |
- No$40 @ 99.8¢
- No$12 @ 96.3¢
- No$10 @ 99.9¢
- No$10 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 98.8¢
- No$5 @ 99.2¢
- No$5 @ 91.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 99.5¢
- No$3 @ 98.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 99.9¢
- No$2 @ 99.5¢