0x8ed2…3422

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8ed2e5858c81e56cef5f500b0dd5d70e6bd83422
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.3pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

97% @ 83.5¢

Brier

0.039

Resolved

Avg size

$5.0k

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	88% (15/17)	+10%	17
Politics	80% (4/5)	+16%	5
Sports	100% (1/1)	+24%	1

Other17 bets
Hit rate
88% (15/17)
ROI
+10%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+16%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+24%

Track record

87% hit · 20/23

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$1.1k	81.2¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$547	65.1¢	Lost
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$715	71.7¢	Won
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?	Yes	$749	90.0¢	Won
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	No	$556	88.4¢	Won
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	$11.9k	86.0¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	$59.5k	88.0¢	Won
Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	$348	77.6¢	Won
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$3	62.8¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	$7.3k	89.0¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$35.7k	80.7¢	Won
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	$12.9k	86.6¢	Won
76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	$6	13.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3.5k	73.0¢	Won
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?	Yes	$177	84.0¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$23.2k	86.9¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	$1	89.8¢	Won
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$10.6k	87.8¢	Won
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	$145.0k	89.0¢	Won
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?	Yes	$364	86.0¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$144.7k	89.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?	Yes	$10.5k	85.0¢	Lost
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?	No	$2.1k	88.0¢	Won

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 81.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$547 @ 65.1¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Won
Yes$715 @ 71.7¢
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Won
Yes$749 @ 90.0¢
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Won
No$556 @ 88.4¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Won
No$11.9k @ 86.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$59.5k @ 88.0¢
Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Won
Yes$348 @ 77.6¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
Yes$3 @ 62.8¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Won
Yes$7.3k @ 89.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$35.7k @ 80.7¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Won
Yes$12.9k @ 86.6¢
76ers vs. CelticsLost
76ers$6 @ 13.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$3.5k @ 73.0¢
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?Won
Yes$177 @ 84.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$23.2k @ 86.9¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?Won
Yes$1 @ 89.8¢
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$10.6k @ 87.8¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
No$145.0k @ 89.0¢
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?Won
Yes$364 @ 86.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
Yes$144.7k @ 89.0¢
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?Lost
Yes$10.5k @ 85.0¢
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?Won
No$2.1k @ 88.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$64.0k	70.2¢

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$64.0k @ 70.2¢