0x8e4f…4594

Specialization by sphere

• Politics24 bets

  Hit rate

  38% (9/24)

  ROI

  +18%

• Other9 bets

  Hit rate

  11% (1/9)

  ROI

  -62%

• Sports6 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (2/6)

  ROI

  -45%

• Geopolitics4 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/4)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Won
  No$89 @ 79.2¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 21.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$420 @ 80.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$48 @ 10.7¢
• IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Won
  Under$45 @ 44.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 3.9¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?Lost
  Yes$16 @ 2.9¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 7.1¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
  No$101 @ 20.2¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
  Yes$1.5k @ 4.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$112 @ 84.4¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 1.6¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$58 @ 74.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
  Yes$37 @ 7.8¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 4.9¢
• Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Won
  Yes$68 @ 67.0¢
• Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
  Yes$456 @ 4.9¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Lost
  Yes$105 @ 56.4¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$31 @ 6.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$143 @ 67.3¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$10 @ 33.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 1.8¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Lost
  No$24 @ 36.4¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$3.8k @ 57.2¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Lost
  No$124 @ 3.0¢
• France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Lost
  Under$160 @ 53.3¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 30.4¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
  No$146 @ 40.6¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
  Yes$213 @ 45.8¢
• France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Lost
  Under$49 @ 49.0¢
• Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 3.5¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Lost
  Yes$37 @ 44.4¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Lost
  No$63 @ 46.6¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$60 @ 40.9¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$377 @ 38.7¢
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$96 @ 8.7¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Won
  No$197 @ 86.3¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Lost
  No$83 @ 21.1¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Won
  No$313 @ 59.6¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Lost
  No$11 @ 39.6¢
• Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 4.1¢
• Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Lost
  Yes$36 @ 12.0¢

Current positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 45.6¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics
  Yes$533 @ 2.5¢
• Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics
  Yes$495 @ 17.4¢
• Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Politics
  Yes$419 @ 9.5¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics
  Yes$287 @ 39.8¢
• Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Politics
  Yes$262 @ 9.4¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  No$250 @ 10.7¢
• Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Politics
  Yes$214 @ 38.3¢
• Ebola case in the US by June 30?Science
  Yes$169 @ 10.9¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Politics
  Yes$135 @ 9.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?—
  Yes$114 @ 43.5¢
• Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?Geopolitics
  Yes$101 @ 23.8¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?—
  Yes$97 @ 28.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?—
  Yes$96 @ 67.8¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$88 @ 21.5¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  Yes$74 @ 23.9¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
  Yes$68 @ 1.8¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics
  No$53 @ 20.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Geopolitics
  Yes$52 @ 9.4¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Geopolitics
  Yes$44 @ 21.2¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
  Yes$42 @ 2.1¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics
  Yes$40 @ 86.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Politics
  Yes$36 @ 2.6¢
• Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Politics
  Yes$31 @ 15.3¢
• Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$30 @ 33.2¢
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$19 @ 3.5¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
  Yes$16 @ 5.5¢
• Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$13 @ 14.1¢
• Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$6 @ 7.0¢