0x8c57…f939

Specialization by sphere

• Other150 bets

  Hit rate

  64% (96/150)

  ROI

  -1%

• Politics85 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (64/85)

  ROI

  +24%

• Geopolitics21 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (15/21)

  ROI

  -1%

• Sports17 bets

  Hit rate

  41% (7/17)

  ROI

  -41%

• Tech3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +30%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +149%

• Economy1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$207 @ 29.5¢
• Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Won
  No$87 @ 87.0¢
• US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
  No$500 @ 72.6¢
• Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Lost
  No$2.5k @ 55.5¢
• Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Won
  Yes$750 @ 80.6¢
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$3.1k @ 9.7¢
• Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Won
  No$2.2k @ 77.6¢
• Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Won
  No$2.4k @ 66.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
  No$8.3k @ 85.9¢
• Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?Lost
  No$30 @ 23.3¢
• Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Won
  Over$300 @ 52.0¢
• North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Won
  No$195 @ 71.0¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$2.0k @ 76.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$7.5k @ 14.7¢
• Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Lost
  No$220 @ 69.0¢
• Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Lost
  No$1.0k @ 64.0¢
• US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Won
  Yes$400 @ 70.0¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$5.6k @ 83.0¢
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Won
  No$132 @ 82.6¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Won
  Yes$155 @ 69.7¢
• Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?Won
  No$1.1k @ 90.0¢
• Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?Lost
  Yes$148 @ 53.9¢
• Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$2.0k @ 83.8¢
• Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Won
  No$330 @ 79.5¢
• AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Won
  Under$1000 @ 53.0¢
• Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$2.7k @ 5.2¢
• AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to ScoreWon
  Yes$200 @ 60.0¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$1.0k @ 76.0¢
• Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$350 @ 34.9¢
• Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  No$252 @ 76.1¢
• Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Lost
  No$495 @ 66.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$5.0k @ 88.3¢
• Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Won
  No$45 @ 89.0¢
• Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Won
  No$503 @ 87.4¢
• Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 60.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$6.1k @ 40.3¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$7.5k @ 75.9¢
• Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva JovicLost
  Iva Jovic$103 @ 14.6¢
• Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
  No$12.6k @ 77.8¢
• FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Lost
  Under$158 @ 68.3¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$500 @ 80.7¢
• VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Lost
  Over$499 @ 57.0¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Won
  No$2.0k @ 82.3¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Won
  No$4.2k @ 78.4¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Lost
  Yes$5.0k @ 23.8¢
• Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Won
  Under$505 @ 69.8¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Lost
  No$2.3k @ 60.3¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Won
  No$450 @ 64.0¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Won
  No$1.8k @ 69.1¢
• Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreWon
  Yes$300 @ 57.0¢

Current positions

• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  No$15.0k @ 85.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$5.2k @ 49.8¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$5.0k @ 72.8¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$4.2k @ 72.9¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$3.6k @ 80.9¢
• Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics
  No$2.5k @ 87.0¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 80.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.0k @ 35.0¢
• Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Sports
  Yes$1.7k @ 74.2¢
• Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Politics
  Yes$1.0k @ 86.0¢
• Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
  Yes$1.0k @ 27.6¢
• Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics
  No$1000 @ 89.0¢
• Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech
  No$500 @ 20.0¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$500 @ 68.0¢
• Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
  No$369 @ 37.1¢
• Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
  No$335 @ 67.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$300 @ 67.9¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$290 @ 63.8¢
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$250 @ 88.0¢
• Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  No$221 @ 58.5¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$200 @ 29.5¢
• UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics
  No$200 @ 44.9¢
• U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics
  Yes$115 @ 23.0¢
• Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Politics
  Yes$54 @ 13.1¢
• Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics
  No$30 @ 84.8¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Politics
  Yes$25 @ 1.2¢
• Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?Politics
  No$8 @ 80.0¢