0x8b8b…2512

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8b8b9c565c8dca43cfb767f0f2c20b2b323d2512
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.6pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

18% @ 12.1¢

Brier

0.094

Resolved

407

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	15% (268/1762)	+13%	1762
Science	12% (116/947)	+5%	947
Politics	20% (10/50)	+43%	50
Sports	39% (11/28)	+97%	28
Culture	25% (3/12)	-8%	12
Tech	20% (1/5)	+15%	5
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	+12%	3
Economy	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other1762 bets
Hit rate
15% (268/1762)
ROI
+13%
Science947 bets
Hit rate
12% (116/947)
ROI
+5%
Politics50 bets
Hit rate
20% (10/50)
ROI
+43%
Sports28 bets
Hit rate
39% (11/28)
ROI
+97%
Culture12 bets
Hit rate
25% (3/12)
ROI
-8%
Tech5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
+15%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+12%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

15% hit · 410/2810

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 30?	Yes	$0	4.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	No	$21	24.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	$29	30.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?	No	$6	13.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	$8	50.0¢	Won
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 6?	Yes	$55	5.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$9	13.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?	No	$8	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 1?	Yes	$0	6.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?	No	$2	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	$2	42.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?	No	$4	80.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	$29	13.0¢	Won
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 3?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 1?	Yes	$1	9.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 DR Congo?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	1.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or below on July 2?	Yes	$0	3.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?	No	$23	44.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?	Yes	$50	37.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?	Yes	$5	13.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 DR Congo?	Yes	$1	3.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 30?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?Won
No$21 @ 24.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$29 @ 30.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?Lost
No$6 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?Won
Yes$8 @ 50.0¢
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 6?Lost
Yes$55 @ 5.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$9 @ 13.5¢
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?Won
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 6.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?Lost
No$2 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?Won
Yes$2 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?Lost
No$4 @ 80.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?Won
Yes$29 @ 13.0¢
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?Lost
No$0 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.8¢
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 DR Congo?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or below on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?Lost
No$23 @ 44.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?Won
Yes$50 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 DR Congo?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	—	No	$424	36.4¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	—	Yes	$311	81.9¢
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	—	No	$170	81.9¢
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?	—	Yes	$76	22.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	—	Yes	$68	12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 1?	—	Yes	$59	90.0¢
Belgium vs. Senegal: Second half draw?	—	No	$41	69.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$21	36.0¢
Will Louise Haigh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	—	Yes	$16	2.9¢
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Senegal?	—	Yes	$10	3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?	—	No	$9	63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 1?	—	Yes	$6	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 1?	—	Yes	$6	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 1?	—	Yes	$6	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 1?	—	Yes	$6	9.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$6	5.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$5	9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 1?	—	Yes	$5	58.2¢
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	—	Yes	$5	2.9¢
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?	—	Yes	$3	8.0¢
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	—	Yes	$3	2.9¢
Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	—	Yes	$3	2.9¢
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?	Tech	No	$2	13.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	—	Yes	$2	8.9¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	—	No	$2	66.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$2	5.3¢
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	—	Yes	$1	2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 1?	—	Yes	$1	4.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$1	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on July 1?	—	Yes	$1	9.1¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?—
No$424 @ 36.4¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?—
Yes$311 @ 81.9¢
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?—
No$170 @ 81.9¢
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?—
Yes$76 @ 22.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?—
Yes$68 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 1?—
Yes$59 @ 90.0¢
Belgium vs. Senegal: Second half draw?—
No$41 @ 69.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 2?—
Yes$21 @ 36.0¢
Will Louise Haigh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?—
Yes$16 @ 2.9¢
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Senegal?—
Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?—
No$9 @ 63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 1?—
Yes$6 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 1?—
Yes$6 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 1?—
Yes$6 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 1?—
Yes$6 @ 9.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$6 @ 5.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 2?—
Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 1?—
Yes$5 @ 58.2¢
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?—
Yes$5 @ 2.9¢
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?—
Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?—
Yes$3 @ 2.9¢
Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?—
Yes$3 @ 2.9¢
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Tech
No$2 @ 13.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?—
Yes$2 @ 8.9¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?—
No$2 @ 66.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$2 @ 5.3¢
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 1?—
Yes$1 @ 4.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 2?—
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on July 1?—
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢