0x8b4b…541b

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics26 bets

  Hit rate

  54% (14/26)

  ROI

  +12%

• Other21 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (12/21)

  ROI

  -19%

• Sports15 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (7/15)

  ROI

  -20%

• Crypto8 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (6/8)

  ROI

  +5%

• Geopolitics4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  -94%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +17%

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Lost
  No$1.5k @ 2.7¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Won
  No$8.5k @ 83.2¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$482 @ 18.0¢
• Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 WinnerWon
  PARIVISION$5.0k @ 71.2¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$242.4k @ 83.5¢
• Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?Won
  No$1.1k @ 85.6¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$8.6k @ 86.0¢
• Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsWon
  PARIVISION$10.0k @ 64.8¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?Won
  No$947 @ 89.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$670 @ 67.0¢
• Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerLost
  PARIVISION$3.0k @ 67.6¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Won
  No$1.1k @ 72.2¢
• Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 WinnerLost
  Team Yandex$2.0k @ 89.7¢
• Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$1.1k @ 73.0¢
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
  Yes$10.8k @ 88.5¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
  No$4.5k @ 86.8¢
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Won
  Yes$445 @ 44.5¢
• Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 WinnerLost
  Team Spirit$363 @ 28.2¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Won
  No$15.5k @ 88.7¢
• Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Won
  No$225 @ 45.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Won
  No$2.6k @ 85.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Lost
  No$152 @ 12.2¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Won
  Yes$2.5k @ 86.7¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Won
  No$5.3k @ 88.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Won
  No$15.2k @ 86.9¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
  No$4.9k @ 89.3¢
• Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerWon
  PARIVISION$2.3k @ 84.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?Won
  No$2.0k @ 82.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  No$102.5k @ 84.4¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  Yes$91.8k @ 17.3¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
  No$9.4k @ 18.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August?Won
  No$3.4k @ 88.0¢
• Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsWon
  Team Yandex$15.6k @ 81.9¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Won
  No$143 @ 70.2¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?Won
  No$1.6k @ 80.0¢
• Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 WinnerLost
  Astra Invicta$698 @ 20.4¢
• Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 WinnerWon
  Team Liquid$1.1k @ 69.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Lost
  No$690 @ 49.7¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 76.6¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$546 @ 88.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Won
  No$17.9k @ 87.1¢
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
  No$17.3k @ 88.0¢
• Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$450 @ 2.6¢
• Will Florian Lipowitz win the 2026 Tour De France?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
• Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 83.6¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Lost
  No$128.7k @ 84.8¢
• Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?Lost
  Yes$456 @ 2.9¢
• Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?Lost
  Yes$634 @ 2.2¢
• Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 1.0¢
• Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$63 @ 4.8¢

Current positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
  No$155.0k @ 81.6¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  No$132.3k @ 89.5¢
• Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$98.7k @ 82.1¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$90.0k @ 90.0¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$83.0k @ 83.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$39.5k @ 74.9¢
• Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Politics
  No$38.5k @ 94.3¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$26.0k @ 94.7¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$12.8k @ 55.5¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
  No$10.9k @ 83.7¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$10.0k @ 81.6¢
• Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$10.0k @ 85.2¢
• Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics
  No$4.6k @ 93.0¢
• Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$4.5k @ 91.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$2.0k @ 92.5¢
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 75.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$877 @ 56.0¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$86 @ 94.3¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$48 @ 93.8¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$20 @ 91.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$15 @ 40.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$14 @ 86.0¢