← Smart money
0x8b01…24a9
SharpEdge
+16.7pp
ROI
+26%
Win rate
78% @ 61.2¢
Brier
0.096
Resolved
399
Avg size
$62
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 30% (9/30) | +11% | 30 |
| Sports | 80% (8/10) | +43% | 10 |
| Other | 10% (1/10) | -64% | 10 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | +12% | 2 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +19% | 2 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +13% | 1 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +1150% | 1 |
- Politics30 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (9/30)
- ROI
- +11%
- Sports10 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (8/10)
- ROI
- +43%
- Other10 bets
- Hit rate
- 10% (1/10)
- ROI
- -64%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +12%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +19%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +13%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +1150%
Track record
39% hit · 22/56- Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
- No$117 @ 39.0¢
- No$67 @ 28.1¢
- Yes$17 @ 76.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 51.0¢
- No$4 @ 18.0¢
- JD Gaming$2 @ 40.0¢
- Team WE$22 @ 20.2¢
- No$374 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 57.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$146 @ 73.0¢
- No$12 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 89.2¢
- FlyQuest$89 @ 89.0¢
- No$16 @ 20.0¢
- No$7 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$600 @ 88.2¢
- No$28 @ 77.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
- No$3.9k @ 61.4¢
- No$49 @ 11.0¢
- No$49 @ 21.5¢
- No$1 @ 6.0¢
- No$1 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 88.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
- No$4 @ 10.2¢
- No$50 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$6.1k @ 83.8¢
- FlyQuest$86 @ 86.0¢
- Invictus Gaming$34 @ 30.8¢
- No$10 @ 83.0¢
- No$11.4k @ 82.8¢
- No$17 @ 84.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 66.0¢
- Invictus Gaming$76 @ 76.0¢
- JD Gaming$39 @ 19.5¢
- Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?LostNo$11 @ 11.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 8.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
- No$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 42.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $268 | 86.9¢ |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $200 | 98.4¢ |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | No | $200 | 99.6¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | No | $150 | 88.0¢ |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Geopolitics | No | $100 | 97.1¢ |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Tech | No | $100 | 99.1¢ |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Politics | No | $100 | 83.2¢ |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | No | $78 | 98.8¢ |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | No | $47 | 98.1¢ |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Economy | No | $6 | 98.2¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 13.0¢ |
- Yes$268 @ 86.9¢
- Yes$200 @ 98.4¢
- No$200 @ 99.6¢
- No$150 @ 88.0¢
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$100 @ 97.1¢
- No$100 @ 99.1¢
- No$100 @ 83.2¢
- No$78 @ 98.8¢
- No$47 @ 98.1¢
- No$6 @ 98.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 13.0¢