← Smart money
0x8946…1089
ProfitableEdge
+27.6pp
ROI
+52%
Win rate
83% @ 55.4¢
Brier
0.342
Resolved
47
Avg size
$68
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 100% (8/8) | +78% | 8 |
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | -94% | 3 |
| Other | 33% (1/3) | -79% | 3 |
| Business | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (8/8)
- ROI
- +78%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -94%
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -79%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
67% hit · 10/15- Yes$686 @ 84.8¢
- Yes$65 @ 7.3¢
- Maja Chwalinska$92 @ 64.0¢
- Talia Gibson$52 @ 29.1¢
- No$101 @ 88.8¢
- Yes$291 @ 84.6¢
- Yes$500 @ 86.2¢
- Marta Kostyuk$100 @ 79.0¢
- No$40 @ 77.8¢
- Yes$343 @ 85.9¢
- No$300 @ 79.7¢
- Over$6 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$355 @ 86.7¢
- Liudmila Samsonova$107 @ 65.4¢
- Yes$164 @ 16.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $294 | 74.4¢ |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | Politics | Yes | $250 | 81.7¢ |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | Politics | Yes | $250 | 81.0¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $152 | 6.5¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Politics | Yes | $102 | 7.3¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Politics | Yes | $85 | 18.1¢ |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $80 | 6.1¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $34 | 68.0¢ |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $26 | 52.0¢ |
- Yes$294 @ 74.4¢
- Yes$250 @ 81.7¢
- Yes$250 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$152 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$102 @ 7.3¢
- Yes$85 @ 18.1¢
- Yes$80 @ 6.1¢
- No$34 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 52.0¢