0x882b…a746

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x882b45bba3afa6c269b4c226aecd86d06e81a746
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.1pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

48% @ 40.8¢

Brier

0.136

Resolved

908

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (23/56)	+37%	56
Politics	42% (13/31)	+8%	31
Geopolitics	20% (1/5)	-93%	5

Other56 bets
Hit rate
41% (23/56)
ROI
+37%
Politics31 bets
Hit rate
42% (13/31)
ROI
+8%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-93%

Track record

40% hit · 37/92

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?	No	$32	81.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	$198	98.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	$3	2.8¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$26	88.0¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$2	44.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$22	57.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$32	43.2¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?	Yes	$129	34.1¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	$3	26.0¢	Lost
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?	Yes	$7	44.6¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$618	88.3¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$145	80.7¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	No	$3	32.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	$7	65.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	No	$9	86.0¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	Yes	$22	62.3¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	$9	91.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	No	$47	47.4¢	Lost
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026?	Yes	$5	18.0¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	No	$47	78.0¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	$7	35.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	$35	32.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	$16	79.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?	No	$4	35.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?	Yes	$34	86.2¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?	Yes	$16	82.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$8	38.0¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?	Yes	$15	74.6¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?	Yes	$1	4.9¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$9	91.0¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$34	34.0¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	$12	59.0¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	Yes	$6	62.5¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	Yes	$25	25.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	$5	8.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$96	59.9¢	Won
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	7.7¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	$6	14.2¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$31	62.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	$33	37.7¢	Lost
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$32	63.8¢	Won
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	$37	38.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$69	64.5¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$637	57.2¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$9	86.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$54	0.2¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Won
No$32 @ 81.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Won
Yes$198 @ 98.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.8¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Won
No$26 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$2 @ 44.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Won
Yes$22 @ 57.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$32 @ 43.2¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Lost
Yes$129 @ 34.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Lost
No$3 @ 26.0¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 44.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Won
Yes$618 @ 88.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Won
Yes$145 @ 80.7¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Lost
No$3 @ 32.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Won
Yes$7 @ 65.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 86.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Lost
Yes$22 @ 62.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 91.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Lost
No$47 @ 47.4¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 18.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Won
No$47 @ 78.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Lost
Yes$7 @ 35.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Lost
No$35 @ 32.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Won
Yes$16 @ 79.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Lost
No$4 @ 35.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Won
Yes$34 @ 86.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Won
Yes$16 @ 82.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Lost
Yes$8 @ 38.0¢
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?Lost
Yes$15 @ 74.6¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.9¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
No$9 @ 91.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Lost
Yes$34 @ 34.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Lost
Yes$12 @ 59.0¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Lost
Yes$6 @ 62.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Lost
Yes$25 @ 25.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$96 @ 59.9¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.7¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Lost
No$6 @ 14.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$31 @ 62.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Lost
Yes$33 @ 37.7¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Won
No$32 @ 63.8¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Lost
Yes$37 @ 38.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$69 @ 64.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$637 @ 57.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$54 @ 0.2¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Lost
No$1 @ 0.9¢
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Politics	No	$248	77.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$37	62.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Politics	No	$10	97.2¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	Politics	No	$10	96.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$8	81.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	No	$7	70.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$4	12.3¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
No$248 @ 77.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
Yes$37 @ 62.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 97.2¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics
No$10 @ 96.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?—
Yes$8 @ 81.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
No$7 @ 70.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$4 @ 12.3¢